A cold front advancing into southeastern Brazil is the dominant driver behind current trader sentiment for São Paulo’s July 3 maximum temperature, with recent model runs and official guidance from Brazilian meteorological sources indicating suppressed daytime warming. Cooler maritime air, increased cloud cover, and light-to-moderate southerly winds are expected to limit insolation and keep highs near or below seasonal normals of 21–23 °C, shifting implied probabilities toward the 24–25 °C outcomes that still dominate the market. Ensemble spread remains notable because timing of frontal passage and residual moisture affect how much radiational cooling versus daytime mixing occurs; clearer breaks could briefly allow readings near 26 °C while heavier stratiform rain would cap them closer to 22–23 °C. Traders are therefore weighing the latest high-resolution model updates against climatological July averages and historical cold-surge analogs to refine positions ahead of tomorrow’s official maximum reading.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on July 3?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on July 3?
27°C 98.6%
28°C 1.3%
26°C <1%
29°C or higher <1%
$57,507 Обс.
$57,507 Обс.
Jul 3, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
99%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
27°C 98.6%
28°C 1.3%
26°C <1%
29°C or higher <1%
$57,507 Обс.
$57,507 Обс.
Jul 3, 2026
19°C or below
$1,930 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$3,388 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$6,001 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$5,250 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$5,345 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$4,161 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$9,807 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$12,751 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$2,866 Обс.
99%
28°C
$3,907 Обс.
1%
29°C or higher
$2,269 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cold front advancing into southeastern Brazil is the dominant driver behind current trader sentiment for São Paulo’s July 3 maximum temperature, with recent model runs and official guidance from Brazilian meteorological sources indicating suppressed daytime warming. Cooler maritime air, increased cloud cover, and light-to-moderate southerly winds are expected to limit insolation and keep highs near or below seasonal normals of 21–23 °C, shifting implied probabilities toward the 24–25 °C outcomes that still dominate the market. Ensemble spread remains notable because timing of frontal passage and residual moisture affect how much radiational cooling versus daytime mixing occurs; clearer breaks could briefly allow readings near 26 °C while heavier stratiform rain would cap them closer to 22–23 °C. Traders are therefore weighing the latest high-resolution model updates against climatological July averages and historical cold-surge analogs to refine positions ahead of tomorrow’s official maximum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 1, 2026, 10:01 PM ET
Обсяг
$57,507Дата завершення
Jul 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 1, 2026, 10:01 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cold front advancing into southeastern Brazil is the dominant driver behind current trader sentiment for São Paulo’s July 3 maximum temperature, with recent model runs and official guidance from Brazilian meteorological sources indicating suppressed daytime warming. Cooler maritime air, increased cloud cover, and light-to-moderate southerly winds are expected to limit insolation and keep highs near or below seasonal normals of 21–23 °C, shifting implied probabilities toward the 24–25 °C outcomes that still dominate the market. Ensemble spread remains notable because timing of frontal passage and residual moisture affect how much radiational cooling versus daytime mixing occurs; clearer breaks could briefly allow readings near 26 °C while heavier stratiform rain would cap them closer to 22–23 °C. Traders are therefore weighing the latest high-resolution model updates against climatological July averages and historical cold-surge analogs to refine positions ahead of tomorrow’s official maximum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$57,507Дата завершення
Jul 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 1, 2026, 10:01 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...A cold front advancing into southeastern Brazil is the dominant driver behind current trader sentiment for São Paulo’s July 3 maximum temperature, with recent model runs and official guidance from Brazilian meteorological sources indicating suppressed daytime warming. Cooler maritime air, increased cloud cover, and light-to-moderate southerly winds are expected to limit insolation and keep highs near or below seasonal normals of 21–23 °C, shifting implied probabilities toward the 24–25 °C outcomes that still dominate the market. Ensemble spread remains notable because timing of frontal passage and residual moisture affect how much radiational cooling versus daytime mixing occurs; clearer breaks could briefly allow readings near 26 °C while heavier stratiform rain would cap them closer to 22–23 °C. Traders are therefore weighing the latest high-resolution model updates against climatological July averages and historical cold-surge analogs to refine positions ahead of tomorrow’s official maximum reading.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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