Official meteorological observations recorded a daily maximum of 21°C in São Paulo on June 17, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome and driving near-certain trader consensus. Mid-June austral winter conditions, modulated by the city’s 760-meter elevation and typical cold-front influences from the south, produce average highs in the 18–22°C range according to INMET climatology, with minimal deviation expected absent unusual atmospheric setup. Recent model runs and station data confirmed no warmer anomalies, solidifying the 21°C resolution threshold. Only revised official readings or definitional disputes over measurement sites could realistically shift the outcome, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare for this date.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 17?
21°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$36,480 Обс.
$36,480 Обс.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
100%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
21°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$36,480 Обс.
$36,480 Обс.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
100%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 15, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official meteorological observations recorded a daily maximum of 21°C in São Paulo on June 17, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome and driving near-certain trader consensus. Mid-June austral winter conditions, modulated by the city’s 760-meter elevation and typical cold-front influences from the south, produce average highs in the 18–22°C range according to INMET climatology, with minimal deviation expected absent unusual atmospheric setup. Recent model runs and station data confirmed no warmer anomalies, solidifying the 21°C resolution threshold. Only revised official readings or definitional disputes over measurement sites could realistically shift the outcome, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare for this date.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання