Recent forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration point to Shanghai experiencing thundery showers and overcast skies on June 30, limiting daytime heating and supporting the market's tight clustering around 26–27°C implied probabilities. Persistent moisture from the plum rain season's tail end, combined with light winds and high humidity, reduces solar insolation and caps temperature maxima, while any localized clearing could push readings toward 28°C. Ensemble variability in short-range guidance introduces the main uncertainty, with official updates over the next 48 hours likely to refine land-sea breeze influences and convective timing before the market resolves on verified Pudong station data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on June 30?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 30?
26°C 34%
27°C 33%
28°C 14%
25°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 30, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
13%
26°C
34%
27°C
33%
28°C
14%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 34%
27°C 33%
28°C 14%
25°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 30, 2026
21°C or below
$1,942 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$802 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$317 Обс.
1%
24°C
$357 Обс.
5%
25°C
$408 Обс.
13%
26°C
$1,294 Обс.
34%
27°C
$538 Обс.
33%
28°C
$518 Обс.
14%
29°C
$593 Обс.
5%
30°C
$615 Обс.
1%
31°C or higher
$354 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration point to Shanghai experiencing thundery showers and overcast skies on June 30, limiting daytime heating and supporting the market's tight clustering around 26–27°C implied probabilities. Persistent moisture from the plum rain season's tail end, combined with light winds and high humidity, reduces solar insolation and caps temperature maxima, while any localized clearing could push readings toward 28°C. Ensemble variability in short-range guidance introduces the main uncertainty, with official updates over the next 48 hours likely to refine land-sea breeze influences and convective timing before the market resolves on verified Pudong station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$7,737Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration point to Shanghai experiencing thundery showers and overcast skies on June 30, limiting daytime heating and supporting the market's tight clustering around 26–27°C implied probabilities. Persistent moisture from the plum rain season's tail end, combined with light winds and high humidity, reduces solar insolation and caps temperature maxima, while any localized clearing could push readings toward 28°C. Ensemble variability in short-range guidance introduces the main uncertainty, with official updates over the next 48 hours likely to refine land-sea breeze influences and convective timing before the market resolves on verified Pudong station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$7,737Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration point to Shanghai experiencing thundery showers and overcast skies on June 30, limiting daytime heating and supporting the market's tight clustering around 26–27°C implied probabilities. Persistent moisture from the plum rain season's tail end, combined with light winds and high humidity, reduces solar insolation and caps temperature maxima, while any localized clearing could push readings toward 28°C. Ensemble variability in short-range guidance introduces the main uncertainty, with official updates over the next 48 hours likely to refine land-sea breeze influences and convective timing before the market resolves on verified Pudong station data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання