Traders assign near-certainty to a 33°C daily maximum in Tel Aviv on August 15 because official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and international models converge on this value, consistent with typical August climatology of 30–33°C under stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies. Current observations through midday align with this trajectory, with minimal diurnal variability expected. Realistic challenges include late-day convective cooling, station-specific measurement differences at the official Tel Aviv site, or revisions in final synoptic analysis that could shift the recorded peak by 1°C. Such adjustments remain low-probability given the tight model agreement and lack of disruptive weather systems.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 15?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 15?
33°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$30,567 Обс.
$30,567 Обс.
Aug 15, 2026
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$30,567 Обс.
$30,567 Обс.
Aug 15, 2026
30°C or below
$488 Обс.
No
31°C
$1,923 Обс.
No
32°C
$5,104 Обс.
No
33°C
$12,057 Обс.
Yes
34°C
$4,459 Обс.
No
35°C
$2,309 Обс.
No
36°C
$1,163 Обс.
No
37°C
$1,167 Обс.
No
38°C
$945 Обс.
No
39°C
$288 Обс.
No
40°C or higher
$666 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certainty to a 33°C daily maximum in Tel Aviv on August 15 because official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and international models converge on this value, consistent with typical August climatology of 30–33°C under stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies. Current observations through midday align with this trajectory, with minimal diurnal variability expected. Realistic challenges include late-day convective cooling, station-specific measurement differences at the official Tel Aviv site, or revisions in final synoptic analysis that could shift the recorded peak by 1°C. Such adjustments remain low-probability given the tight model agreement and lack of disruptive weather systems.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$30,567Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certainty to a 33°C daily maximum in Tel Aviv on August 15 because official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and international models converge on this value, consistent with typical August climatology of 30–33°C under stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies. Current observations through midday align with this trajectory, with minimal diurnal variability expected. Realistic challenges include late-day convective cooling, station-specific measurement differences at the official Tel Aviv site, or revisions in final synoptic analysis that could shift the recorded peak by 1°C. Such adjustments remain low-probability given the tight model agreement and lack of disruptive weather systems.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$30,567Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Traders assign near-certainty to a 33°C daily maximum in Tel Aviv on August 15 because official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and international models converge on this value, consistent with typical August climatology of 30–33°C under stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies. Current observations through midday align with this trajectory, with minimal diurnal variability expected. Realistic challenges include late-day convective cooling, station-specific measurement differences at the official Tel Aviv site, or revisions in final synoptic analysis that could shift the recorded peak by 1°C. Such adjustments remain low-probability given the tight model agreement and lack of disruptive weather systems.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання