**Forecast consensus from models including the Israel Meteorological Service and Met Office points to a maximum of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 19 under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and sea-breeze moderation along the coast.** These values sit near seasonal averages (around 30–31°C daytime highs) with no strong heat advection, upper-level ridging, or Saharan air intrusions expected to push temperatures higher. Minor uncertainties in daytime heating, boundary-layer mixing, or afternoon cloud development could shift the exact peak by 1°C, explaining why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 32°C (63.5%) and 31°C (31.5%). Recent IMS guidance notes partly cloudy skies and a slight temperature relief in some areas through mid-week, keeping extremes like 34°C or above at under 1% odds. No major model shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours to alter this outlook.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 19?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 19?
32°C 64%
31°C 32%
33°C 6%
30°C 2.5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 19, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
32%
32°C
64%
33°C
6%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 64%
31°C 32%
33°C 6%
30°C 2.5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 19, 2026
29°C or below
$61 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$151 Обс.
3%
31°C
$300 Обс.
32%
32°C
$278 Обс.
64%
33°C
$112 Обс.
6%
34°C
$75 Обс.
1%
35°C
$70 Обс.
<1%
36°C
$198 Обс.
<1%
37°C
$261 Обс.
<1%
38°C
$256 Обс.
<1%
39°C or higher
$256 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from models including the Israel Meteorological Service and Met Office points to a maximum of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 19 under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and sea-breeze moderation along the coast.**
These values sit near seasonal averages (around 30–31°C daytime highs) with no strong heat advection, upper-level ridging, or Saharan air intrusions expected to push temperatures higher. Minor uncertainties in daytime heating, boundary-layer mixing, or afternoon cloud development could shift the exact peak by 1°C, explaining why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 32°C (63.5%) and 31°C (31.5%).
Recent IMS guidance notes partly cloudy skies and a slight temperature relief in some areas through mid-week, keeping extremes like 34°C or above at under 1% odds. No major model shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours to alter this outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,018Дата завершення
Aug 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from models including the Israel Meteorological Service and Met Office points to a maximum of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 19 under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and sea-breeze moderation along the coast.**
These values sit near seasonal averages (around 30–31°C daytime highs) with no strong heat advection, upper-level ridging, or Saharan air intrusions expected to push temperatures higher. Minor uncertainties in daytime heating, boundary-layer mixing, or afternoon cloud development could shift the exact peak by 1°C, explaining why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 32°C (63.5%) and 31°C (31.5%).
Recent IMS guidance notes partly cloudy skies and a slight temperature relief in some areas through mid-week, keeping extremes like 34°C or above at under 1% odds. No major model shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours to alter this outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,018Дата завершення
Aug 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from models including the Israel Meteorological Service and Met Office points to a maximum of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 19 under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and sea-breeze moderation along the coast.** These values sit near seasonal averages (around 30–31°C daytime highs) with no strong heat advection, upper-level ridging, or Saharan air intrusions expected to push temperatures higher. Minor uncertainties in daytime heating, boundary-layer mixing, or afternoon cloud development could shift the exact peak by 1°C, explaining why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 32°C (63.5%) and 31°C (31.5%). Recent IMS guidance notes partly cloudy skies and a slight temperature relief in some areas through mid-week, keeping extremes like 34°C or above at under 1% odds. No major model shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours to alter this outlook.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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