Trader consensus for Tel Aviv’s July 10 daily maximum centers on 31°C at 41.5% implied probability because that outcome aligns with the city’s Mediterranean climatology, where July highs typically cluster between 30–32°C under persistent subtropical high pressure and stable sea-surface temperatures near 28°C. Sea-breeze circulation from the Mediterranean often caps afternoon peaks near these levels, while ensemble guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and regional models shows a narrow spread around 29–32°C with limited potential for Sharav wind intensification or stronger onshore flow that would shift readings outside this band. With resolution in roughly 48 hours, the next official forecast update or mesoscale model run will likely tighten probabilities around the modal 30–32°C outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 10?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 10?
31°C 65%
30°C 20%
32°C 12%
33°C 1.3%
НОВЕ
$27,899 Обс.
НОВЕ
$27,899 Обс.
Jul 10, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
20%
31°C
65%
32°C
12%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
31°C 65%
30°C 20%
32°C 12%
33°C 1.3%
НОВЕ
$27,899 Обс.
НОВЕ
$27,899 Обс.
Jul 10, 2026
28°C or below
$826 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$2,151 Обс.
1%
30°C
$5,844 Обс.
20%
31°C
$6,001 Обс.
65%
32°C
$3,359 Обс.
12%
33°C
$2,282 Обс.
1%
34°C
$1,104 Обс.
<1%
35°C
$1,698 Обс.
<1%
36°C
$1,375 Обс.
<1%
37°C
$1,620 Обс.
<1%
38°C or higher
$1,646 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus for Tel Aviv’s July 10 daily maximum centers on 31°C at 41.5% implied probability because that outcome aligns with the city’s Mediterranean climatology, where July highs typically cluster between 30–32°C under persistent subtropical high pressure and stable sea-surface temperatures near 28°C. Sea-breeze circulation from the Mediterranean often caps afternoon peaks near these levels, while ensemble guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and regional models shows a narrow spread around 29–32°C with limited potential for Sharav wind intensification or stronger onshore flow that would shift readings outside this band. With resolution in roughly 48 hours, the next official forecast update or mesoscale model run will likely tighten probabilities around the modal 30–32°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$27,899Дата завершення
Jul 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus for Tel Aviv’s July 10 daily maximum centers on 31°C at 41.5% implied probability because that outcome aligns with the city’s Mediterranean climatology, where July highs typically cluster between 30–32°C under persistent subtropical high pressure and stable sea-surface temperatures near 28°C. Sea-breeze circulation from the Mediterranean often caps afternoon peaks near these levels, while ensemble guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and regional models shows a narrow spread around 29–32°C with limited potential for Sharav wind intensification or stronger onshore flow that would shift readings outside this band. With resolution in roughly 48 hours, the next official forecast update or mesoscale model run will likely tighten probabilities around the modal 30–32°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$27,899Дата завершення
Jul 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus for Tel Aviv’s July 10 daily maximum centers on 31°C at 41.5% implied probability because that outcome aligns with the city’s Mediterranean climatology, where July highs typically cluster between 30–32°C under persistent subtropical high pressure and stable sea-surface temperatures near 28°C. Sea-breeze circulation from the Mediterranean often caps afternoon peaks near these levels, while ensemble guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and regional models shows a narrow spread around 29–32°C with limited potential for Sharav wind intensification or stronger onshore flow that would shift readings outside this band. With resolution in roughly 48 hours, the next official forecast update or mesoscale model run will likely tighten probabilities around the modal 30–32°C outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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