Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate sunny conditions with a peak near 32°C for Tel Aviv on July 15, supported by stable high-pressure patterns and typical midsummer Mediterranean airflow. This consensus underpins the market's 43% implied probability for 32°C and 31.5% for 33°C, with coastal moderation limiting upside risk compared to inland areas. Historical July averages hover around 30–31°C, and the absence of heatwave signals or model divergence keeps 31°C at 15% while compressing odds above 34°C below 7%. Traders are monitoring the next model runs for any late shifts in wind or humidity that could adjust the daily maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 15?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 15?
32°C 58%
33°C 26%
31°C 15%
30°C 1.6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 15, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
15%
32°C
58%
33°C
26%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 58%
33°C 26%
31°C 15%
30°C 1.6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 15, 2026
28°C or below
$402 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$1,328 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$630 Обс.
2%
31°C
$1,424 Обс.
15%
32°C
$2,615 Обс.
58%
33°C
$817 Обс.
26%
34°C
$545 Обс.
2%
35°C
$594 Обс.
<1%
36°C
$395 Обс.
<1%
37°C
$556 Обс.
<1%
38°C or higher
$321 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate sunny conditions with a peak near 32°C for Tel Aviv on July 15, supported by stable high-pressure patterns and typical midsummer Mediterranean airflow. This consensus underpins the market's 43% implied probability for 32°C and 31.5% for 33°C, with coastal moderation limiting upside risk compared to inland areas. Historical July averages hover around 30–31°C, and the absence of heatwave signals or model divergence keeps 31°C at 15% while compressing odds above 34°C below 7%. Traders are monitoring the next model runs for any late shifts in wind or humidity that could adjust the daily maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 13, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$9,626Дата завершення
Jul 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 13, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate sunny conditions with a peak near 32°C for Tel Aviv on July 15, supported by stable high-pressure patterns and typical midsummer Mediterranean airflow. This consensus underpins the market's 43% implied probability for 32°C and 31.5% for 33°C, with coastal moderation limiting upside risk compared to inland areas. Historical July averages hover around 30–31°C, and the absence of heatwave signals or model divergence keeps 31°C at 15% while compressing odds above 34°C below 7%. Traders are monitoring the next model runs for any late shifts in wind or humidity that could adjust the daily maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$9,626Дата завершення
Jul 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 13, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate sunny conditions with a peak near 32°C for Tel Aviv on July 15, supported by stable high-pressure patterns and typical midsummer Mediterranean airflow. This consensus underpins the market's 43% implied probability for 32°C and 31.5% for 33°C, with coastal moderation limiting upside risk compared to inland areas. Historical July averages hover around 30–31°C, and the absence of heatwave signals or model divergence keeps 31°C at 15% while compressing odds above 34°C below 7%. Traders are monitoring the next model runs for any late shifts in wind or humidity that could adjust the daily maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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