Forecast models from multiple sources project a peak temperature near 31°C for Tel Aviv on September 13 under stable high-pressure conditions, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that permit strong solar heating without significant cooling from cloud cover or precipitation. This aligns with late-summer Mediterranean climatology, where daytime maxima commonly reach the low 30s°C absent synoptic disturbances. Trader consensus favoring 32°C (71%) over 33°C (26.5%) reflects the tight clustering of guidance around this range, with minimal upside risk from model spreads or unexpected warming. Updated runs through the evening of September 12 show little change, keeping resolution thresholds firmly in the 31–33°C band ahead of official observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 13?
32°C 71%
33°C 27%
31°C 3%
34°C 3%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
71%
33°C
27%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 71%
33°C 27%
31°C 3%
34°C 3%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
71%
33°C
27%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from multiple sources project a peak temperature near 31°C for Tel Aviv on September 13 under stable high-pressure conditions, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that permit strong solar heating without significant cooling from cloud cover or precipitation. This aligns with late-summer Mediterranean climatology, where daytime maxima commonly reach the low 30s°C absent synoptic disturbances. Trader consensus favoring 32°C (71%) over 33°C (26.5%) reflects the tight clustering of guidance around this range, with minimal upside risk from model spreads or unexpected warming. Updated runs through the evening of September 12 show little change, keeping resolution thresholds firmly in the 31–33°C band ahead of official observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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