**Current forecast models indicate an overnight minimum near 25°C for Tel Aviv on September 13 under mostly clear skies and light winds.** This supports the market's leading 53.5% implied probability for exactly 25°C as the daily low, driven by radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs around 31–32°C. High humidity (70–85%) and dew points near 22–23°C limit the temperature drop, while weak nocturnal winds reduce mixing and allow modest cooling to the mid-20s. Coastal sea-breeze effects and stable high pressure typical of early autumn in the eastern Mediterranean further anchor the range. Slight model variations in wind speed or residual cloud cover could push the low to 23–24°C, explaining the close 45% odds on those outcomes versus warmer or much cooler thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 13?
21°C or below 90%
22°C 90%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$938 Обс.
$938 Обс.
Sep 13, 2026
21°C or below
90%
22°C
90%
23°C
46%
24°C
-
25°C
-
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
21°C or below 90%
22°C 90%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$938 Обс.
$938 Обс.
Sep 13, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Обс.
90%
22°C
$172 Обс.
90%
23°C
$124 Обс.
46%
24°C
$128 Обс.
-
25°C
$106 Обс.
-
26°C
$357 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$25 Обс.
<1%
31°C or higher
$25 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models indicate an overnight minimum near 25°C for Tel Aviv on September 13 under mostly clear skies and light winds.** This supports the market's leading 53.5% implied probability for exactly 25°C as the daily low, driven by radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs around 31–32°C. High humidity (70–85%) and dew points near 22–23°C limit the temperature drop, while weak nocturnal winds reduce mixing and allow modest cooling to the mid-20s. Coastal sea-breeze effects and stable high pressure typical of early autumn in the eastern Mediterranean further anchor the range. Slight model variations in wind speed or residual cloud cover could push the low to 23–24°C, explaining the close 45% odds on those outcomes versus warmer or much cooler thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$938Дата завершення
Sep 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models indicate an overnight minimum near 25°C for Tel Aviv on September 13 under mostly clear skies and light winds.** This supports the market's leading 53.5% implied probability for exactly 25°C as the daily low, driven by radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs around 31–32°C. High humidity (70–85%) and dew points near 22–23°C limit the temperature drop, while weak nocturnal winds reduce mixing and allow modest cooling to the mid-20s. Coastal sea-breeze effects and stable high pressure typical of early autumn in the eastern Mediterranean further anchor the range. Slight model variations in wind speed or residual cloud cover could push the low to 23–24°C, explaining the close 45% odds on those outcomes versus warmer or much cooler thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$938Дата завершення
Sep 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast models indicate an overnight minimum near 25°C for Tel Aviv on September 13 under mostly clear skies and light winds.** This supports the market's leading 53.5% implied probability for exactly 25°C as the daily low, driven by radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs around 31–32°C. High humidity (70–85%) and dew points near 22–23°C limit the temperature drop, while weak nocturnal winds reduce mixing and allow modest cooling to the mid-20s. Coastal sea-breeze effects and stable high pressure typical of early autumn in the eastern Mediterranean further anchor the range. Slight model variations in wind speed or residual cloud cover could push the low to 23–24°C, explaining the close 45% odds on those outcomes versus warmer or much cooler thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання