Recent model consensus from Environment Canada and major ensembles favors a Toronto high of 35–37°C on July 14 under strong high pressure and southerly flow advecting warm, humid air across the region. Modest differences in forecast timing of any afternoon cloud cover or lake-breeze onset create tight clustering between the 36°C and 37°C outcomes, while the 35°C bracket reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing. Historical July maxima near 35°C provide context, but current ridge strength and low-level thickness values support the upper end of that range. Updated 12Z model runs and the next Environment Canada public forecast will be the key near-term catalysts for repricing.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Toronto on July 14?
Highest temperature in Toronto on July 14?
36°C 48%
37°C 31%
38°C 13%
35°C 10%
НОВЕ
$12,565 Обс.
НОВЕ
$12,565 Обс.
Jul 14, 2026
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
10%
36°C
48%
37°C
31%
38°C
13%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
36°C 48%
37°C 31%
38°C 13%
35°C 10%
НОВЕ
$12,565 Обс.
НОВЕ
$12,565 Обс.
Jul 14, 2026
32°C or below
$870 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$1,360 Обс.
<1%
34°C
$749 Обс.
2%
35°C
$2,139 Обс.
10%
36°C
$2,527 Обс.
48%
37°C
$1,773 Обс.
31%
38°C
$965 Обс.
13%
39°C
$1,067 Обс.
1%
40°C
$510 Обс.
<1%
41°C
$307 Обс.
<1%
42°C or higher
$298 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Environment Canada and major ensembles favors a Toronto high of 35–37°C on July 14 under strong high pressure and southerly flow advecting warm, humid air across the region. Modest differences in forecast timing of any afternoon cloud cover or lake-breeze onset create tight clustering between the 36°C and 37°C outcomes, while the 35°C bracket reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing. Historical July maxima near 35°C provide context, but current ridge strength and low-level thickness values support the upper end of that range. Updated 12Z model runs and the next Environment Canada public forecast will be the key near-term catalysts for repricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 12, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Обсяг
$12,565Дата завершення
Jul 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 12, 2026, 9:01 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Environment Canada and major ensembles favors a Toronto high of 35–37°C on July 14 under strong high pressure and southerly flow advecting warm, humid air across the region. Modest differences in forecast timing of any afternoon cloud cover or lake-breeze onset create tight clustering between the 36°C and 37°C outcomes, while the 35°C bracket reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing. Historical July maxima near 35°C provide context, but current ridge strength and low-level thickness values support the upper end of that range. Updated 12Z model runs and the next Environment Canada public forecast will be the key near-term catalysts for repricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$12,565Дата завершення
Jul 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 12, 2026, 9:01 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from Environment Canada and major ensembles favors a Toronto high of 35–37°C on July 14 under strong high pressure and southerly flow advecting warm, humid air across the region. Modest differences in forecast timing of any afternoon cloud cover or lake-breeze onset create tight clustering between the 36°C and 37°C outcomes, while the 35°C bracket reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing. Historical July maxima near 35°C provide context, but current ridge strength and low-level thickness values support the upper end of that range. Updated 12Z model runs and the next Environment Canada public forecast will be the key near-term catalysts for repricing.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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