SpaceX's rapid Falcon 9 cadence, supported by reusable boosters and quick ground processing at Cape Canaveral and Vandenberg, underpins the market's tight clustering between 12 and 13 total launches for May. With three missions completed early in the month and a dense remaining manifest of Starlink deployments scheduled for May 19, 21, 23, and 25, plus a Starship flight test window opening around May 19, traders see high feasibility for reaching the higher end of historical monthly rates. Potential range constraints, weather holds, or minor technical scrubs introduce the narrow gap between 12 and 13, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent major delays.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHow many SpaceX launches in May?
How many SpaceX launches in May?
12 46%
11 35%
9 15%
10 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 31, 2026
≤8
25%
9
15%
10
12%
11
35%
12
46%
13
49%
14 or more
6%
12 46%
11 35%
9 15%
10 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 31, 2026
≤8
$208 Обс.
25%
9
$73 Обс.
15%
10
$71 Обс.
12%
11
$50 Обс.
35%
12
$50 Обс.
46%
13
$121 Обс.
49%
14 or more
$643 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between May 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.SpaceX's rapid Falcon 9 cadence, supported by reusable boosters and quick ground processing at Cape Canaveral and Vandenberg, underpins the market's tight clustering between 12 and 13 total launches for May. With three missions completed early in the month and a dense remaining manifest of Starlink deployments scheduled for May 19, 21, 23, and 25, plus a Starship flight test window opening around May 19, traders see high feasibility for reaching the higher end of historical monthly rates. Potential range constraints, weather holds, or minor technical scrubs introduce the narrow gap between 12 and 13, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent major delays.
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between May 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 27, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,217Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between May 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.SpaceX's rapid Falcon 9 cadence, supported by reusable boosters and quick ground processing at Cape Canaveral and Vandenberg, underpins the market's tight clustering between 12 and 13 total launches for May. With three missions completed early in the month and a dense remaining manifest of Starlink deployments scheduled for May 19, 21, 23, and 25, plus a Starship flight test window opening around May 19, traders see high feasibility for reaching the higher end of historical monthly rates. Potential range constraints, weather holds, or minor technical scrubs introduce the narrow gap between 12 and 13, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent major delays.
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between May 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Обсяг
$1,217Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX's rapid Falcon 9 cadence, supported by reusable boosters and quick ground processing at Cape Canaveral and Vandenberg, underpins the market's tight clustering between 12 and 13 total launches for May. With three missions completed early in the month and a dense remaining manifest of Starlink deployments scheduled for May 19, 21, 23, and 25, plus a Starship flight test window opening around May 19, traders see high feasibility for reaching the higher end of historical monthly rates. Potential range constraints, weather holds, or minor technical scrubs introduce the narrow gap between 12 and 13, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent major delays.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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