Recent polls project the revived Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) at 7-8 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, with Ra'am separately at 4-6, for a combined Arab total near 11-14. The August reunification of the three parties, following prolonged negotiations and strong Arab public support for unity, has improved efficiency over separate runs and positions the list for the market's leading 8-9 seat range. A surplus-vote agreement with Ra'am further aids seat maximization. Trader positioning also reflects risks from Likud-led disqualification bids before the Central Elections Committee, variable Arab turnout, and the broader deadlock between Netanyahu's bloc and centrist opposition parties, where Arab lists remain excluded from most coalition scenarios yet influence overall arithmetic.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено8-9 41%
<6 19%
6-7 19%
10-11 16%
<6
19%
6-7
23%
8-9
41%
10-11
18%
12+
3%
8-9 41%
<6 19%
6-7 19%
10-11 16%
<6
19%
6-7
23%
8-9
41%
10-11
18%
12+
3%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Ринок відкрито: Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls project the revived Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) at 7-8 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, with Ra'am separately at 4-6, for a combined Arab total near 11-14. The August reunification of the three parties, following prolonged negotiations and strong Arab public support for unity, has improved efficiency over separate runs and positions the list for the market's leading 8-9 seat range. A surplus-vote agreement with Ra'am further aids seat maximization. Trader positioning also reflects risks from Likud-led disqualification bids before the Central Elections Committee, variable Arab turnout, and the broader deadlock between Netanyahu's bloc and centrist opposition parties, where Arab lists remain excluded from most coalition scenarios yet influence overall arithmetic.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено



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