Recent polling averages for the October 27, 2026, Knesset election place United Torah Judaism (UTJ) at 7–8 seats, consistent with its 2022 result and reflecting stable Haredi voter turnout. Recent surveys from Kantar, Midgam, and others show the Ashkenazi ultra-Orthodox list holding steady amid negotiations between its Agudat Israel and Degel HaTorah factions over candidate slots and internal agreements to avoid fragmentation. Broader campaign dynamics, including debates over military conscription exemptions and coalition arithmetic, have not produced measurable shifts in UTJ support, as voters remain concentrated in core communities. Trader pricing aligns with this polling consensus, with limited movement toward higher or lower ranges.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено7-8 82%
9-10 14%
11+ 4.8%
<7 3.3%
<7
3%
7-8
82%
9-10
14%
11+
5%
7-8 82%
9-10 14%
11+ 4.8%
<7 3.3%
<7
3%
7-8
82%
9-10
14%
11+
5%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Ринок відкрито: Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages for the October 27, 2026, Knesset election place United Torah Judaism (UTJ) at 7–8 seats, consistent with its 2022 result and reflecting stable Haredi voter turnout. Recent surveys from Kantar, Midgam, and others show the Ashkenazi ultra-Orthodox list holding steady amid negotiations between its Agudat Israel and Degel HaTorah factions over candidate slots and internal agreements to avoid fragmentation. Broader campaign dynamics, including debates over military conscription exemptions and coalition arithmetic, have not produced measurable shifts in UTJ support, as voters remain concentrated in core communities. Trader pricing aligns with this polling consensus, with limited movement toward higher or lower ranges.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено



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