Incumbent Democrat Sharice Davids faces Republican Eric Jenkins in the November 3 general election for Kansas’s 3rd congressional district, a suburban Kansas City seat rated Likely or Solid Democratic by major forecasters. Primaries concluded August 4 with both nominees securing large victories and clearing the field, leaving limited new data to shift positioning in the ensuing weeks. Forecasts project a Davids win by roughly 15 points based on fundamentals and the district’s recent voting patterns, including her prior double-digit margins despite the area’s modest Republican tilt in presidential voting. Trader consensus reflected in the even split among leading candidate outcomes and the concentration around a 20-25 point Democratic margin appears driven by the absence of fresh district polling, the race’s structural lean, and uncertainty over national midterm dynamics that could compress or expand the final result. Scheduled events through early November offer the main remaining catalysts for movement.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоKS-03 House Election Margin of Victory
KS-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Democrat 20-25% 27.5%
Democrat 0-5% 19%
Democrat 25-30% 16%
Democrat 10-15% 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat 30%+
9%
Democrat 25-30%
16%
Democrat 20-25%
28%
Democrat 15-20%
13%
Democrat 10-15%
14%
Democrat 5-10%
11%
Democrat 0-5%
19%
Republican Wins
1%
Democrat 20-25% 27.5%
Democrat 0-5% 19%
Democrat 25-30% 16%
Democrat 10-15% 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat 30%+
$110 Обс.
9%
Democrat 25-30%
$162 Обс.
16%
Democrat 20-25%
$331 Обс.
28%
Democrat 15-20%
$188 Обс.
13%
Democrat 10-15%
$145 Обс.
14%
Democrat 5-10%
$198 Обс.
11%
Democrat 0-5%
$537 Обс.
19%
Republican Wins
$203 Обс.
1%
The 2026 KS-03 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 KS-03 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Democrat Sharice Davids faces Republican Eric Jenkins in the November 3 general election for Kansas’s 3rd congressional district, a suburban Kansas City seat rated Likely or Solid Democratic by major forecasters. Primaries concluded August 4 with both nominees securing large victories and clearing the field, leaving limited new data to shift positioning in the ensuing weeks. Forecasts project a Davids win by roughly 15 points based on fundamentals and the district’s recent voting patterns, including her prior double-digit margins despite the area’s modest Republican tilt in presidential voting. Trader consensus reflected in the even split among leading candidate outcomes and the concentration around a 20-25 point Democratic margin appears driven by the absence of fresh district polling, the race’s structural lean, and uncertainty over national midterm dynamics that could compress or expand the final result. Scheduled events through early November offer the main remaining catalysts for movement.
The 2026 KS-03 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 KS-03 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 KS-03 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 10, 2026, 11:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,874Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 11:30 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 KS-03 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 KS-03 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Democrat Sharice Davids faces Republican Eric Jenkins in the November 3 general election for Kansas’s 3rd congressional district, a suburban Kansas City seat rated Likely or Solid Democratic by major forecasters. Primaries concluded August 4 with both nominees securing large victories and clearing the field, leaving limited new data to shift positioning in the ensuing weeks. Forecasts project a Davids win by roughly 15 points based on fundamentals and the district’s recent voting patterns, including her prior double-digit margins despite the area’s modest Republican tilt in presidential voting. Trader consensus reflected in the even split among leading candidate outcomes and the concentration around a 20-25 point Democratic margin appears driven by the absence of fresh district polling, the race’s structural lean, and uncertainty over national midterm dynamics that could compress or expand the final result. Scheduled events through early November offer the main remaining catalysts for movement.
The 2026 KS-03 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 KS-03 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 KS-03 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$1,874Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 11:30 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Democrat Sharice Davids faces Republican Eric Jenkins in the November 3 general election for Kansas’s 3rd congressional district, a suburban Kansas City seat rated Likely or Solid Democratic by major forecasters. Primaries concluded August 4 with both nominees securing large victories and clearing the field, leaving limited new data to shift positioning in the ensuing weeks. Forecasts project a Davids win by roughly 15 points based on fundamentals and the district’s recent voting patterns, including her prior double-digit margins despite the area’s modest Republican tilt in presidential voting. Trader consensus reflected in the even split among leading candidate outcomes and the concentration around a 20-25 point Democratic margin appears driven by the absence of fresh district polling, the race’s structural lean, and uncertainty over national midterm dynamics that could compress or expand the final result. Scheduled events through early November offer the main remaining catalysts for movement.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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