Morgan Stanley’s 74% implied probability reflects its recent designation as lead arranger on Anthropic’s $15 billion revolving credit facility, alongside prominent roles for Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Citigroup, which has historically correlated with IPO bookrunner assignments. Reports indicate Morgan Stanley is positioned for the “lead left” mandate, having led pre-IPO investor outreach on pricing and valuation targets near $2 trillion following the company’s $965 billion Series H round. Goldman Sachs retains a meaningful but secondary role, often linked to stabilization duties, while the delay of the public S-1 filing and roadshow into mid-October keeps the competitive dynamic fluid ahead of the targeted pre-election listing. Trader sentiment incorporates the precedent that larger credit commitments typically secure superior economics and visibility in the final syndicate.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMorgan Stanley 79%
Goldman Sachs 14.6%
JPMorgan <1%
Bank of America <1%
$65,117 Обс.
$65,117 Обс.
Morgan Stanley
74%
Goldman Sachs
15%
JPMorgan
<1%
Bank of America
<1%
Citigroup
<1%
Barclays
<1%
UBS
<1%
Deutsche Bank
<1%
Wells Fargo
<1%
Morgan Stanley 79%
Goldman Sachs 14.6%
JPMorgan <1%
Bank of America <1%
$65,117 Обс.
$65,117 Обс.
Morgan Stanley
74%
Goldman Sachs
15%
JPMorgan
<1%
Bank of America
<1%
Citigroup
<1%
Barclays
<1%
UBS
<1%
Deutsche Bank
<1%
Wells Fargo
<1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 1, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Morgan Stanley’s 74% implied probability reflects its recent designation as lead arranger on Anthropic’s $15 billion revolving credit facility, alongside prominent roles for Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Citigroup, which has historically correlated with IPO bookrunner assignments. Reports indicate Morgan Stanley is positioned for the “lead left” mandate, having led pre-IPO investor outreach on pricing and valuation targets near $2 trillion following the company’s $965 billion Series H round. Goldman Sachs retains a meaningful but secondary role, often linked to stabilization duties, while the delay of the public S-1 filing and roadshow into mid-October keeps the competitive dynamic fluid ahead of the targeted pre-election listing. Trader sentiment incorporates the precedent that larger credit commitments typically secure superior economics and visibility in the final syndicate.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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