Divergence among short-range forecast models on the strength and timing of an incoming northwest frontal system is the main driver splitting trader consensus for Ankara’s September 14 low temperature. Ankara’s high-elevation continental setting permits rapid diurnal swings, so outcomes hinge on whether clear skies enable strong radiational cooling overnight or whether increased cloud cover and southwesterly flow limit the drop to the mid-teens Celsius. Current ensemble guidance clusters most likely minimums near 15–16 °C, yet small shifts in frontal position or wind speed could push readings several degrees lower or keep them above 20 °C. Fresh ECMWF and GFS runs plus Turkish Meteorological Service updates expected within the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Ankara on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on September 14?
22°C or higher 79%
12°C or below 78%
16°C 39%
20°C 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 14, 2026
12°C or below
78%
13°C
26%
14°C
24%
15°C
23%
16°C
39%
17°C
38%
18°C
38%
19°C
38%
20°C
39%
21°C
38%
22°C or higher
79%
22°C or higher 79%
12°C or below 78%
16°C 39%
20°C 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 14, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Обс.
78%
13°C
$0 Обс.
26%
14°C
$0 Обс.
24%
15°C
$0 Обс.
23%
16°C
$20 Обс.
39%
17°C
$0 Обс.
38%
18°C
$0 Обс.
38%
19°C
$0 Обс.
38%
20°C
$0 Обс.
39%
21°C
$0 Обс.
38%
22°C or higher
$0 Обс.
79%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Divergence among short-range forecast models on the strength and timing of an incoming northwest frontal system is the main driver splitting trader consensus for Ankara’s September 14 low temperature. Ankara’s high-elevation continental setting permits rapid diurnal swings, so outcomes hinge on whether clear skies enable strong radiational cooling overnight or whether increased cloud cover and southwesterly flow limit the drop to the mid-teens Celsius. Current ensemble guidance clusters most likely minimums near 15–16 °C, yet small shifts in frontal position or wind speed could push readings several degrees lower or keep them above 20 °C. Fresh ECMWF and GFS runs plus Turkish Meteorological Service updates expected within the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$20Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Divergence among short-range forecast models on the strength and timing of an incoming northwest frontal system is the main driver splitting trader consensus for Ankara’s September 14 low temperature. Ankara’s high-elevation continental setting permits rapid diurnal swings, so outcomes hinge on whether clear skies enable strong radiational cooling overnight or whether increased cloud cover and southwesterly flow limit the drop to the mid-teens Celsius. Current ensemble guidance clusters most likely minimums near 15–16 °C, yet small shifts in frontal position or wind speed could push readings several degrees lower or keep them above 20 °C. Fresh ECMWF and GFS runs plus Turkish Meteorological Service updates expected within the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$20Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Divergence among short-range forecast models on the strength and timing of an incoming northwest frontal system is the main driver splitting trader consensus for Ankara’s September 14 low temperature. Ankara’s high-elevation continental setting permits rapid diurnal swings, so outcomes hinge on whether clear skies enable strong radiational cooling overnight or whether increased cloud cover and southwesterly flow limit the drop to the mid-teens Celsius. Current ensemble guidance clusters most likely minimums near 15–16 °C, yet small shifts in frontal position or wind speed could push readings several degrees lower or keep them above 20 °C. Fresh ECMWF and GFS runs plus Turkish Meteorological Service updates expected within the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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