Recent forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service (DWD) and GFS ensembles point to clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds over Munich on September 22, supporting strong nighttime radiative cooling that could drive the daily minimum into the 4–8°C range. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 2°C or below (44%) or 5°C (21.5%), reflecting trader assessment of model spread and the potential for localized cold pockets near the city. Historical September 22 lows average 9.3°C but have dipped to 0.7°C, underscoring the role of high-pressure systems in producing outliers. Final official readings from Munich stations will resolve the market once the overnight period concludes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Munich on September 22?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 22?
2°C or below 94%
3°C 19%
4°C 17%
6°C <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 22, 2026
2°C or below
94%
3°C
19%
4°C
17%
5°C
35%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C or higher
<1%
2°C or below 94%
3°C 19%
4°C 17%
6°C <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 22, 2026
2°C or below
$0 Обс.
94%
3°C
$8 Обс.
19%
4°C
$5 Обс.
17%
5°C
$85 Обс.
35%
6°C
$63 Обс.
<1%
7°C
$15 Обс.
<1%
8°C
$23 Обс.
<1%
9°C
$15 Обс.
<1%
10°C
$15 Обс.
<1%
11°C
$15 Обс.
<1%
12°C or higher
$15 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service (DWD) and GFS ensembles point to clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds over Munich on September 22, supporting strong nighttime radiative cooling that could drive the daily minimum into the 4–8°C range. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 2°C or below (44%) or 5°C (21.5%), reflecting trader assessment of model spread and the potential for localized cold pockets near the city. Historical September 22 lows average 9.3°C but have dipped to 0.7°C, underscoring the role of high-pressure systems in producing outliers. Final official readings from Munich stations will resolve the market once the overnight period concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$259Дата завершення
Sep 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service (DWD) and GFS ensembles point to clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds over Munich on September 22, supporting strong nighttime radiative cooling that could drive the daily minimum into the 4–8°C range. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 2°C or below (44%) or 5°C (21.5%), reflecting trader assessment of model spread and the potential for localized cold pockets near the city. Historical September 22 lows average 9.3°C but have dipped to 0.7°C, underscoring the role of high-pressure systems in producing outliers. Final official readings from Munich stations will resolve the market once the overnight period concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$259Дата завершення
Sep 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service (DWD) and GFS ensembles point to clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds over Munich on September 22, supporting strong nighttime radiative cooling that could drive the daily minimum into the 4–8°C range. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 2°C or below (44%) or 5°C (21.5%), reflecting trader assessment of model spread and the potential for localized cold pockets near the city. Historical September 22 lows average 9.3°C but have dipped to 0.7°C, underscoring the role of high-pressure systems in producing outliers. Final official readings from Munich stations will resolve the market once the overnight period concludes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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