**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Panama City, Panama, on September 20 centers on the narrow 23–26°C band, where market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 46–51%.** In Panama’s tropical climate, overnight minima are shaped by high humidity limiting radiative cooling, cloud cover from convective activity, and light winds under the influence of the Intertropical Convergence Zone. Recent model consensus and preliminary station data point to a minimum near 24–25°C, with slight upward pressure on 26°C arising from localized urban heat or delayed cooling after daytime showers. Official thresholds and precise measurement timing at the primary station introduce the remaining uncertainty that keeps these four outcomes nearly even, while outcomes outside 22–27°C remain negligible given climatological baselines and current atmospheric conditions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Panama City on September 20?
26°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
20°C or below <1%
$1,159 Обс.
$1,159 Обс.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
20°C or below <1%
$1,159 Обс.
$1,159 Обс.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 18, 2026, 8:30 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Panama City, Panama, on September 20 centers on the narrow 23–26°C band, where market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 46–51%.** In Panama’s tropical climate, overnight minima are shaped by high humidity limiting radiative cooling, cloud cover from convective activity, and light winds under the influence of the Intertropical Convergence Zone. Recent model consensus and preliminary station data point to a minimum near 24–25°C, with slight upward pressure on 26°C arising from localized urban heat or delayed cooling after daytime showers. Official thresholds and precise measurement timing at the primary station introduce the remaining uncertainty that keeps these four outcomes nearly even, while outcomes outside 22–27°C remain negligible given climatological baselines and current atmospheric conditions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання