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Lowest temperature in Paris on July 10?

icon for Lowest temperature in Paris on July 10?

Lowest temperature in Paris on July 10?

Jul 10

Jul 11

Jul 10

Jul 11

20°C 42%

21°C 39%

22°C 9%

19°C 6%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

$26,032 Обс.

20°C 42%

21°C 39%

22°C 9%

19°C 6%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

$26,032 Обс.

16°C or below

$1,210 Обс.

<1%

17°C

$960 Обс.

1%

18°C

$1,063 Обс.

1%

19°C

$630 Обс.

6%

20°C

$5,433 Обс.

42%

21°C

$9,555 Обс.

39%

22°C

$983 Обс.

9%

23°C

$2,058 Обс.

<1%

24°C

$1,381 Обс.

<1%

25°C

$1,287 Обс.

<1%

26°C or higher

$1,481 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European heatwave conditions, driven by persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies over western France, have elevated overnight minimum temperatures in Paris well above the July climatological average of 15–17°C. Météo-France guidance for July 10 points to morning lows near 20–22°C under light winds and limited nocturnal cooling, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around these values. Urban heat-island effects and measurement protocols at official stations further constrain downside risk, while any increase in cloud cover or a slight shift in steering flow could allow marginally lower readings. Updated model runs and the next official forecast briefings remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader-implied probabilities.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$26,032
Дата завершення
Jul 10, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European heatwave conditions, driven by persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies over western France, have elevated overnight minimum temperatures in Paris well above the July climatological average of 15–17°C. Météo-France guidance for July 10 points to morning lows near 20–22°C under light winds and limited nocturnal cooling, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around these values. Urban heat-island effects and measurement protocols at official stations further constrain downside risk, while any increase in cloud cover or a slight shift in steering flow could allow marginally lower readings. Updated model runs and the next official forecast briefings remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader-implied probabilities.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$26,032
Дата завершення
Jul 10, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Lowest temperature in Paris on July 10?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 11 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «20°C» з 42%, далі «21°C» з 39%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Lowest temperature in Paris on July 10?» згенерував $26K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jul 8, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Lowest temperature in Paris on July 10?», перегляньте 11 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Lowest temperature in Paris on July 10?» — «20°C» з 42%. Наступний — «21°C» з 39%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Lowest temperature in Paris on July 10?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.