Current forecast consensus from multiple models points to a clear, stable high-pressure pattern over Qingdao on September 6, with overnight radiative cooling under light easterly to northeasterly winds moderating the minimum temperature to around 20–21 °C. Coastal marine influence from the Yellow Sea limits diurnal swings and prevents sharp drops, while low humidity and minimal cloud cover support gradual nighttime cooling without extreme lows. Trader sentiment remains closely divided, with the 26 °C-or-higher outcome edging ahead at 46.5 % implied probability amid model spread on exact wind shifts and boundary-layer mixing, versus the 16 °C-or-below bucket at 38.5 %. Upcoming evening observations and final model runs will clarify whether sea-breeze persistence or clearer skies tip the minimum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Qingdao on September 6?
16°C or below 87%
26°C or higher 83%
21°C 49%
23°C 49%
16°C or below
87%
17°C
26%
18°C
38%
19°C
29%
20°C
25%
21°C
49%
22°C
9%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C or higher
83%
16°C or below 87%
26°C or higher 83%
21°C 49%
23°C 49%
16°C or below
87%
17°C
26%
18°C
38%
19°C
29%
20°C
25%
21°C
49%
22°C
9%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C or higher
83%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from multiple models points to a clear, stable high-pressure pattern over Qingdao on September 6, with overnight radiative cooling under light easterly to northeasterly winds moderating the minimum temperature to around 20–21 °C. Coastal marine influence from the Yellow Sea limits diurnal swings and prevents sharp drops, while low humidity and minimal cloud cover support gradual nighttime cooling without extreme lows. Trader sentiment remains closely divided, with the 26 °C-or-higher outcome edging ahead at 46.5 % implied probability amid model spread on exact wind shifts and boundary-layer mixing, versus the 16 °C-or-below bucket at 38.5 %. Upcoming evening observations and final model runs will clarify whether sea-breeze persistence or clearer skies tip the minimum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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