Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Seoul's official weather station confirm the daily minimum temperature on May 15 reached exactly 15°C during early morning hours, propelling trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as diurnal warming under clear skies and light easterly winds prevented further drops. This aligns with mid-May climatological norms, where Seoul's average lows fall between 13°C and 16°C based on decades of KMA records, amid a high-pressure ridge fostering stable conditions. While final KMA daily summaries could theoretically revise automated readings with manual quality checks—such as if overlooked pre-dawn data emerges—such adjustments are exceedingly rare once the full 24-hour period elapses. Traders await the official report for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Seoul on May 15?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on May 15?
15°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$23,687 Обс.
$23,687 Обс.
May 15, 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$23,687 Обс.
$23,687 Обс.
May 15, 2026
11°C or below
$2,361 Обс.
No
12°C
$1,997 Обс.
No
13°C
$2,948 Обс.
No
14°C
$2,084 Обс.
No
15°C
$1,986 Обс.
Yes
16°C
$910 Обс.
No
17°C
$4,130 Обс.
No
18°C
$1,248 Обс.
No
19°C
$1,072 Обс.
No
20°C
$1,296 Обс.
No
21°C or higher
$3,653 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Seoul's official weather station confirm the daily minimum temperature on May 15 reached exactly 15°C during early morning hours, propelling trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as diurnal warming under clear skies and light easterly winds prevented further drops. This aligns with mid-May climatological norms, where Seoul's average lows fall between 13°C and 16°C based on decades of KMA records, amid a high-pressure ridge fostering stable conditions. While final KMA daily summaries could theoretically revise automated readings with manual quality checks—such as if overlooked pre-dawn data emerges—such adjustments are exceedingly rare once the full 24-hour period elapses. Traders await the official report for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
Обсяг
$23,687Дата завершення
May 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Seoul's official weather station confirm the daily minimum temperature on May 15 reached exactly 15°C during early morning hours, propelling trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as diurnal warming under clear skies and light easterly winds prevented further drops. This aligns with mid-May climatological norms, where Seoul's average lows fall between 13°C and 16°C based on decades of KMA records, amid a high-pressure ridge fostering stable conditions. While final KMA daily summaries could theoretically revise automated readings with manual quality checks—such as if overlooked pre-dawn data emerges—such adjustments are exceedingly rare once the full 24-hour period elapses. Traders await the official report for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$23,687Дата завершення
May 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Seoul's official weather station confirm the daily minimum temperature on May 15 reached exactly 15°C during early morning hours, propelling trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as diurnal warming under clear skies and light easterly winds prevented further drops. This aligns with mid-May climatological norms, where Seoul's average lows fall between 13°C and 16°C based on decades of KMA records, amid a high-pressure ridge fostering stable conditions. While final KMA daily summaries could theoretically revise automated readings with manual quality checks—such as if overlooked pre-dawn data emerges—such adjustments are exceedingly rare once the full 24-hour period elapses. Traders await the official report for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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