Current ensemble forecasts from NOAA, ECMWF, and Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration indicate overnight lows near 25°C on September 5, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high dew points around 24–25°C that limit radiative cooling under the southwest monsoon flow. These conditions align with early-September climatology for Taipei, where typical minima hover near 24–26°C amid humid, unstable air. Trader probabilities cluster tightly around 24–26°C because minor differences in model timing of rainfall or wind shifts could nudge the official minimum by 1°C, while extremes remain low-probability given the stable synoptic pattern and absence of stronger cooling influences. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine resolution thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Taipei on September 5?
21°C 49%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
27°C 49%
20°C or below
34%
21°C
49%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
26%
25°C
28%
26°C
28%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C or higher
2%
21°C 49%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
27°C 49%
20°C or below
34%
21°C
49%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
26%
25°C
28%
26°C
28%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C or higher
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from NOAA, ECMWF, and Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration indicate overnight lows near 25°C on September 5, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high dew points around 24–25°C that limit radiative cooling under the southwest monsoon flow. These conditions align with early-September climatology for Taipei, where typical minima hover near 24–26°C amid humid, unstable air. Trader probabilities cluster tightly around 24–26°C because minor differences in model timing of rainfall or wind shifts could nudge the official minimum by 1°C, while extremes remain low-probability given the stable synoptic pattern and absence of stronger cooling influences. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine resolution thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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