Former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, captured by U.S. forces in January 2026 and detained in Brooklyn, pleaded not guilty on January 5 to all counts in a superseding Southern District of New York indictment charging narco-terrorism conspiracy, narcotics trafficking, and weapons offenses. Pre-trial proceedings continue amid disputes over legal funding—resolved in late April when the U.S. permitted Venezuelan government payments—and motions to dismiss citing sanctions and immunity claims. With no trial date set beyond a June 30 hearing and the narcoterrorism statute's limited full-trial success history, traders price an 87.5% chance against conviction on every count, reflecting evidentiary hurdles and potential plea deals observed in co-defendant cases.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$102,578 Обс.
$102,578 Обс.
Dec 31, 2027
$102,578 Обс.
$102,578 Обс.
Dec 31, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, captured by U.S. forces in January 2026 and detained in Brooklyn, pleaded not guilty on January 5 to all counts in a superseding Southern District of New York indictment charging narco-terrorism conspiracy, narcotics trafficking, and weapons offenses. Pre-trial proceedings continue amid disputes over legal funding—resolved in late April when the U.S. permitted Venezuelan government payments—and motions to dismiss citing sanctions and immunity claims. With no trial date set beyond a June 30 hearing and the narcoterrorism statute's limited full-trial success history, traders price an 87.5% chance against conviction on every count, reflecting evidentiary hurdles and potential plea deals observed in co-defendant cases.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Обсяг
$102,578Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, captured by U.S. forces in January 2026 and detained in Brooklyn, pleaded not guilty on January 5 to all counts in a superseding Southern District of New York indictment charging narco-terrorism conspiracy, narcotics trafficking, and weapons offenses. Pre-trial proceedings continue amid disputes over legal funding—resolved in late April when the U.S. permitted Venezuelan government payments—and motions to dismiss citing sanctions and immunity claims. With no trial date set beyond a June 30 hearing and the narcoterrorism statute's limited full-trial success history, traders price an 87.5% chance against conviction on every count, reflecting evidentiary hurdles and potential plea deals observed in co-defendant cases.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$102,578Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, captured by U.S. forces in January 2026 and detained in Brooklyn, pleaded not guilty on January 5 to all counts in a superseding Southern District of New York indictment charging narco-terrorism conspiracy, narcotics trafficking, and weapons offenses. Pre-trial proceedings continue amid disputes over legal funding—resolved in late April when the U.S. permitted Venezuelan government payments—and motions to dismiss citing sanctions and immunity claims. With no trial date set beyond a June 30 hearing and the narcoterrorism statute's limited full-trial success history, traders price an 87.5% chance against conviction on every count, reflecting evidentiary hurdles and potential plea deals observed in co-defendant cases.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання