Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court (STF) has never seen a sitting justice removed by impeachment since the court’s founding, reflecting a constitutional process that demands initiation by the prosecutor general and a two-thirds Senate majority. Recent developments, including an April 2026 congressional inquiry report recommending proceedings against Gilmar Mendes, Dias Toffoli, and Alexandre de Moraes over the Banco Master scandal, plus opposition petitions triggered by Moraes’s May 2026 suspension of sentencing legislation, have not advanced beyond filing. Senate leadership has declined to schedule committee review or votes, citing institutional thresholds and calendar control ahead of October 2026 legislative elections. Traders view these structural barriers and political inertia as sustaining the high likelihood that no removal occurs before 2027.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$70,751 Обс.
$70,751 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
$70,751 Обс.
$70,751 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court (STF) has never seen a sitting justice removed by impeachment since the court’s founding, reflecting a constitutional process that demands initiation by the prosecutor general and a two-thirds Senate majority. Recent developments, including an April 2026 congressional inquiry report recommending proceedings against Gilmar Mendes, Dias Toffoli, and Alexandre de Moraes over the Banco Master scandal, plus opposition petitions triggered by Moraes’s May 2026 suspension of sentencing legislation, have not advanced beyond filing. Senate leadership has declined to schedule committee review or votes, citing institutional thresholds and calendar control ahead of October 2026 legislative elections. Traders view these structural barriers and political inertia as sustaining the high likelihood that no removal occurs before 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Обсяг
$70,751Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court (STF) has never seen a sitting justice removed by impeachment since the court’s founding, reflecting a constitutional process that demands initiation by the prosecutor general and a two-thirds Senate majority. Recent developments, including an April 2026 congressional inquiry report recommending proceedings against Gilmar Mendes, Dias Toffoli, and Alexandre de Moraes over the Banco Master scandal, plus opposition petitions triggered by Moraes’s May 2026 suspension of sentencing legislation, have not advanced beyond filing. Senate leadership has declined to schedule committee review or votes, citing institutional thresholds and calendar control ahead of October 2026 legislative elections. Traders view these structural barriers and political inertia as sustaining the high likelihood that no removal occurs before 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$70,751Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court (STF) has never seen a sitting justice removed by impeachment since the court’s founding, reflecting a constitutional process that demands initiation by the prosecutor general and a two-thirds Senate majority. Recent developments, including an April 2026 congressional inquiry report recommending proceedings against Gilmar Mendes, Dias Toffoli, and Alexandre de Moraes over the Banco Master scandal, plus opposition petitions triggered by Moraes’s May 2026 suspension of sentencing legislation, have not advanced beyond filing. Senate leadership has declined to schedule committee review or votes, citing institutional thresholds and calendar control ahead of October 2026 legislative elections. Traders view these structural barriers and political inertia as sustaining the high likelihood that no removal occurs before 2027.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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