Recent April 2026 data showed Mexico's headline inflation easing to 4.45% year-over-year from 4.59% in March, with core measures declining to 4.26%, prompting traders to cluster probabilities around the 4.00-4.99% bands. Upward revisions in Banxico economist surveys lifted the 2026 year-end forecast to 4.37%, reflecting persistent non-core pressures and sticky services inflation despite peso stability and contained wage growth. Market-implied odds remain tightly contested between the two leading ranges because incoming monthly prints and potential Banxico rate adjustments could still steer the annual average toward either side of 4.5%, while longer-term convergence to the 3% target hinges on sustained labor market moderation and global energy trends.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено4.50% to 4.99% 36%
3.50% to 3.99% 16.2%
5.00% to 5.49% 15.9%
5.50%+ 10%
$41,235 Обс.
$41,235 Обс.
Jan 8, 2027
<2.50%
5%
2.50% to 2.99%
<1%
3.00% to 3.49%
7%
3.50% to 3.99%
9%
4.00% to 4.49%
41%
4.50% to 4.99%
36%
5.00% to 5.49%
16%
5.50%+
10%
4.50% to 4.99% 36%
3.50% to 3.99% 16.2%
5.00% to 5.49% 15.9%
5.50%+ 10%
$41,235 Обс.
$41,235 Обс.
Jan 8, 2027
<2.50%
$494 Обс.
5%
2.50% to 2.99%
$4,130 Обс.
<1%
3.00% to 3.49%
$25,963 Обс.
7%
3.50% to 3.99%
$396 Обс.
9%
4.00% to 4.49%
$503 Обс.
41%
4.50% to 4.99%
$3,538 Обс.
36%
5.00% to 5.49%
$1,191 Обс.
16%
5.50%+
$5,020 Обс.
10%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioRecent April 2026 data showed Mexico's headline inflation easing to 4.45% year-over-year from 4.59% in March, with core measures declining to 4.26%, prompting traders to cluster probabilities around the 4.00-4.99% bands. Upward revisions in Banxico economist surveys lifted the 2026 year-end forecast to 4.37%, reflecting persistent non-core pressures and sticky services inflation despite peso stability and contained wage growth. Market-implied odds remain tightly contested between the two leading ranges because incoming monthly prints and potential Banxico rate adjustments could still steer the annual average toward either side of 4.5%, while longer-term convergence to the 3% target hinges on sustained labor market moderation and global energy trends.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
Ринок відкрито: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Обсяг
$41,235Дата завершення
Jan 8, 2027Ринок відкрито
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioRecent April 2026 data showed Mexico's headline inflation easing to 4.45% year-over-year from 4.59% in March, with core measures declining to 4.26%, prompting traders to cluster probabilities around the 4.00-4.99% bands. Upward revisions in Banxico economist surveys lifted the 2026 year-end forecast to 4.37%, reflecting persistent non-core pressures and sticky services inflation despite peso stability and contained wage growth. Market-implied odds remain tightly contested between the two leading ranges because incoming monthly prints and potential Banxico rate adjustments could still steer the annual average toward either side of 4.5%, while longer-term convergence to the 3% target hinges on sustained labor market moderation and global energy trends.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
Обсяг
$41,235Дата завершення
Jan 8, 2027Ринок відкрито
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent April 2026 data showed Mexico's headline inflation easing to 4.45% year-over-year from 4.59% in March, with core measures declining to 4.26%, prompting traders to cluster probabilities around the 4.00-4.99% bands. Upward revisions in Banxico economist surveys lifted the 2026 year-end forecast to 4.37%, reflecting persistent non-core pressures and sticky services inflation despite peso stability and contained wage growth. Market-implied odds remain tightly contested between the two leading ranges because incoming monthly prints and potential Banxico rate adjustments could still steer the annual average toward either side of 4.5%, while longer-term convergence to the 3% target hinges on sustained labor market moderation and global energy trends.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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