Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran's supreme leadership in March 2026 following the February 28 assassination of his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, during U.S.-Israeli strikes. Appointed by the Assembly of Experts amid wartime conditions, he has issued statements via state media on Gulf security and the Strait of Hormuz without confirmed public appearances. Reports indicate he sustained wounds requiring treatment, with recent accounts placing him in recovery within Qom and suggesting reduced direct authority as Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps figures exert greater influence over military and diplomatic decisions. These developments, alongside longstanding speculation over hereditary succession and clerical credentials, shape trader focus on whether health or political pressures could prompt travel outside Iran before the June 30 resolution date.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$1,150,416 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
May 31
1%
June 30
3%
$1,150,416 Обс.
May 31
$115,398 Обс.
1%
June 30
$63,408 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran's supreme leadership in March 2026 following the February 28 assassination of his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, during U.S.-Israeli strikes. Appointed by the Assembly of Experts amid wartime conditions, he has issued statements via state media on Gulf security and the Strait of Hormuz without confirmed public appearances. Reports indicate he sustained wounds requiring treatment, with recent accounts placing him in recovery within Qom and suggesting reduced direct authority as Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps figures exert greater influence over military and diplomatic decisions. These developments, alongside longstanding speculation over hereditary succession and clerical credentials, shape trader focus on whether health or political pressures could prompt travel outside Iran before the June 30 resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,150,416Дата завершення
Apr 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran's supreme leadership in March 2026 following the February 28 assassination of his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, during U.S.-Israeli strikes. Appointed by the Assembly of Experts amid wartime conditions, he has issued statements via state media on Gulf security and the Strait of Hormuz without confirmed public appearances. Reports indicate he sustained wounds requiring treatment, with recent accounts placing him in recovery within Qom and suggesting reduced direct authority as Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps figures exert greater influence over military and diplomatic decisions. These developments, alongside longstanding speculation over hereditary succession and clerical credentials, shape trader focus on whether health or political pressures could prompt travel outside Iran before the June 30 resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$1,150,416Дата завершення
Apr 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei assumed Iran's supreme leadership in March 2026 following the February 28 assassination of his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, during U.S.-Israeli strikes. Appointed by the Assembly of Experts amid wartime conditions, he has issued statements via state media on Gulf security and the Strait of Hormuz without confirmed public appearances. Reports indicate he sustained wounds requiring treatment, with recent accounts placing him in recovery within Qom and suggesting reduced direct authority as Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps figures exert greater influence over military and diplomatic decisions. These developments, alongside longstanding speculation over hereditary succession and clerical credentials, shape trader focus on whether health or political pressures could prompt travel outside Iran before the June 30 resolution date.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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