Iran’s new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei has remained out of public view since his appointment following his father’s death in late February 2026 U.S.-Israeli strikes, fueling speculation about his health and location. Reports indicate he sustained serious injuries in the same attack that killed family members, prompting questions over whether he has sought medical treatment abroad. Iranian officials have issued written statements attributed to him on topics including nuclear policy and Strait of Hormuz management, while state media has released only AI-enhanced clips. The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps has consolidated influence amid the leadership vacuum, and analysts note ongoing negotiations with the United States could accelerate or delay any potential departure. Resolution hinges on confirmed reports of travel outside Iran by the June 30 deadline.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$1,162,884 Обс.
May 31, 2026
May 31
1%
June 30
3%
$1,162,884 Обс.
May 31
$121,550 Обс.
1%
June 30
$69,724 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran’s new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei has remained out of public view since his appointment following his father’s death in late February 2026 U.S.-Israeli strikes, fueling speculation about his health and location. Reports indicate he sustained serious injuries in the same attack that killed family members, prompting questions over whether he has sought medical treatment abroad. Iranian officials have issued written statements attributed to him on topics including nuclear policy and Strait of Hormuz management, while state media has released only AI-enhanced clips. The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps has consolidated influence amid the leadership vacuum, and analysts note ongoing negotiations with the United States could accelerate or delay any potential departure. Resolution hinges on confirmed reports of travel outside Iran by the June 30 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Mar 24, 2026, 4:24 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,162,884Дата завершення
Apr 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Mar 24, 2026, 4:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran’s new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei has remained out of public view since his appointment following his father’s death in late February 2026 U.S.-Israeli strikes, fueling speculation about his health and location. Reports indicate he sustained serious injuries in the same attack that killed family members, prompting questions over whether he has sought medical treatment abroad. Iranian officials have issued written statements attributed to him on topics including nuclear policy and Strait of Hormuz management, while state media has released only AI-enhanced clips. The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps has consolidated influence amid the leadership vacuum, and analysts note ongoing negotiations with the United States could accelerate or delay any potential departure. Resolution hinges on confirmed reports of travel outside Iran by the June 30 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$1,162,884Дата завершення
Apr 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Mar 24, 2026, 4:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran’s new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei has remained out of public view since his appointment following his father’s death in late February 2026 U.S.-Israeli strikes, fueling speculation about his health and location. Reports indicate he sustained serious injuries in the same attack that killed family members, prompting questions over whether he has sought medical treatment abroad. Iranian officials have issued written statements attributed to him on topics including nuclear policy and Strait of Hormuz management, while state media has released only AI-enhanced clips. The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps has consolidated influence amid the leadership vacuum, and analysts note ongoing negotiations with the United States could accelerate or delay any potential departure. Resolution hinges on confirmed reports of travel outside Iran by the June 30 deadline.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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