Incumbent Democratic Secretary of State Cisco Aguilar holds an 83.5% implied probability in this November 3, 2026, rematch against Republican Jim Marchant, who sits at 10.5%. Aguilar’s position stems from his 2022 narrow victory, uncontested Democratic primary, and roughly $1 million cash advantage reported in July filings, contrasted with Marchant’s near-zero reserves. Marchant secured the GOP nomination in June after defeating better-funded rivals including the governor’s preferred candidate, yet his platform emphasizing voter roll resets, paper ballots, and hand counts has not narrowed the gap. Nonpartisan forecasts rate the race Likely Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that the fundraising and incumbency edges outweigh the challenger’s primary momentum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNevada Secretary of State Election Winner
Nevada Secretary of State Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Cisco Aguilar (D)
84%
Jim Marchant (R)
11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Cisco Aguilar (D)
$745 Обс.
84%
Jim Marchant (R)
$220 Обс.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Nevada Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Incumbent Democratic Secretary of State Cisco Aguilar holds an 83.5% implied probability in this November 3, 2026, rematch against Republican Jim Marchant, who sits at 10.5%. Aguilar’s position stems from his 2022 narrow victory, uncontested Democratic primary, and roughly $1 million cash advantage reported in July filings, contrasted with Marchant’s near-zero reserves. Marchant secured the GOP nomination in June after defeating better-funded rivals including the governor’s preferred candidate, yet his platform emphasizing voter roll resets, paper ballots, and hand counts has not narrowed the gap. Nonpartisan forecasts rate the race Likely Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that the fundraising and incumbency edges outweigh the challenger’s primary momentum.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Nevada Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 4, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
Обсяг
$965Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 4, 2026, 1:58 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Nevada Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Incumbent Democratic Secretary of State Cisco Aguilar holds an 83.5% implied probability in this November 3, 2026, rematch against Republican Jim Marchant, who sits at 10.5%. Aguilar’s position stems from his 2022 narrow victory, uncontested Democratic primary, and roughly $1 million cash advantage reported in July filings, contrasted with Marchant’s near-zero reserves. Marchant secured the GOP nomination in June after defeating better-funded rivals including the governor’s preferred candidate, yet his platform emphasizing voter roll resets, paper ballots, and hand counts has not narrowed the gap. Nonpartisan forecasts rate the race Likely Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that the fundraising and incumbency edges outweigh the challenger’s primary momentum.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Nevada Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Обсяг
$965Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 4, 2026, 1:58 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Democratic Secretary of State Cisco Aguilar holds an 83.5% implied probability in this November 3, 2026, rematch against Republican Jim Marchant, who sits at 10.5%. Aguilar’s position stems from his 2022 narrow victory, uncontested Democratic primary, and roughly $1 million cash advantage reported in July filings, contrasted with Marchant’s near-zero reserves. Marchant secured the GOP nomination in June after defeating better-funded rivals including the governor’s preferred candidate, yet his platform emphasizing voter roll resets, paper ballots, and hand counts has not narrowed the gap. Nonpartisan forecasts rate the race Likely Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that the fundraising and incumbency edges outweigh the challenger’s primary momentum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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