The NJ-07 race between Republican incumbent Thomas Kean Jr. and Democratic nominee Rebecca Bennett remains highly competitive, with recent polling showing Bennett ahead by roughly 4 points in a May survey and ratings from toss-up to lean Democratic. Kean's extended absence from Congress due to health challenges, including a disclosed depression diagnosis, contributed to unfavorable ratings and elevated the contest's profile after he re-emerged to affirm his candidacy. Bennett, a former Navy aviator and healthcare executive who won her June primary decisively, benefits from strong independent support in this affluent swing district with a narrow partisan registration edge. Fundraising, national midterm dynamics, and voter turnout among suburban and unaffiliated blocs continue to shape outcomes. Limited late-cycle polling and the possibility of shifts from campaign events or economic conditions sustain the tight implied probabilities across narrow victory margins for either side.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNJ-07 House Election Margin of Victory
NJ-07 House Election Margin of Victory
Democrat 12-15% 37%
Democrat 18%+ 37%
Democrat 15-18% 37%
Democrat 9-12% 37%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat 18%+
37%
Democrat 15-18%
37%
Democrat 12-15%
37%
Democrat 9-12%
37%
Democrat 6-9%
37%
Democrat 3-6%
37%
Democrat 0-3%
37%
Republican 0-3%
37%
Republican 3-6%
37%
Republican 6%+
37%
Democrat 12-15% 37%
Democrat 18%+ 37%
Democrat 15-18% 37%
Democrat 9-12% 37%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat 18%+
$0 Обс.
37%
Democrat 15-18%
$0 Обс.
37%
Democrat 12-15%
$0 Обс.
37%
Democrat 9-12%
$0 Обс.
37%
Democrat 6-9%
$0 Обс.
37%
Democrat 3-6%
$0 Обс.
37%
Democrat 0-3%
$0 Обс.
37%
Republican 0-3%
$0 Обс.
37%
Republican 3-6%
$0 Обс.
37%
Republican 6%+
$0 Обс.
37%
The 2026 NJ-07 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 NJ-07 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The NJ-07 race between Republican incumbent Thomas Kean Jr. and Democratic nominee Rebecca Bennett remains highly competitive, with recent polling showing Bennett ahead by roughly 4 points in a May survey and ratings from toss-up to lean Democratic. Kean's extended absence from Congress due to health challenges, including a disclosed depression diagnosis, contributed to unfavorable ratings and elevated the contest's profile after he re-emerged to affirm his candidacy. Bennett, a former Navy aviator and healthcare executive who won her June primary decisively, benefits from strong independent support in this affluent swing district with a narrow partisan registration edge. Fundraising, national midterm dynamics, and voter turnout among suburban and unaffiliated blocs continue to shape outcomes. Limited late-cycle polling and the possibility of shifts from campaign events or economic conditions sustain the tight implied probabilities across narrow victory margins for either side.
The 2026 NJ-07 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 NJ-07 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 NJ-07 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 11, 2026, 2:18 PM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 NJ-07 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 NJ-07 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The NJ-07 race between Republican incumbent Thomas Kean Jr. and Democratic nominee Rebecca Bennett remains highly competitive, with recent polling showing Bennett ahead by roughly 4 points in a May survey and ratings from toss-up to lean Democratic. Kean's extended absence from Congress due to health challenges, including a disclosed depression diagnosis, contributed to unfavorable ratings and elevated the contest's profile after he re-emerged to affirm his candidacy. Bennett, a former Navy aviator and healthcare executive who won her June primary decisively, benefits from strong independent support in this affluent swing district with a narrow partisan registration edge. Fundraising, national midterm dynamics, and voter turnout among suburban and unaffiliated blocs continue to shape outcomes. Limited late-cycle polling and the possibility of shifts from campaign events or economic conditions sustain the tight implied probabilities across narrow victory margins for either side.
The 2026 NJ-07 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 NJ-07 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 NJ-07 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The NJ-07 race between Republican incumbent Thomas Kean Jr. and Democratic nominee Rebecca Bennett remains highly competitive, with recent polling showing Bennett ahead by roughly 4 points in a May survey and ratings from toss-up to lean Democratic. Kean's extended absence from Congress due to health challenges, including a disclosed depression diagnosis, contributed to unfavorable ratings and elevated the contest's profile after he re-emerged to affirm his candidacy. Bennett, a former Navy aviator and healthcare executive who won her June primary decisively, benefits from strong independent support in this affluent swing district with a narrow partisan registration edge. Fundraising, national midterm dynamics, and voter turnout among suburban and unaffiliated blocs continue to shape outcomes. Limited late-cycle polling and the possibility of shifts from campaign events or economic conditions sustain the tight implied probabilities across narrow victory margins for either side.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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