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Вибори·Сенат

Next Senate Majority Leader?

icon for Next Senate Majority Leader?
Вибори·Сенат

Next Senate Majority Leader?

John Thune 42%

Chuck Schumer 40%

Brian Schatz 5.0%

Tom Cotton 3.5%

Polymarket

$151,712 Обс.

John Thune 42%

Chuck Schumer 40%

Brian Schatz 5.0%

Tom Cotton 3.5%

Polymarket

$151,712 Обс.

icon for John Thune

John Thune

$24,941 Обс.

42%

icon for Chuck Schumer

Chuck Schumer

$13,735 Обс.

40%

icon for Brian Schatz

Brian Schatz

$2,882 Обс.

5%

icon for Tom Cotton

Tom Cotton

$7,630 Обс.

4%

icon for John Barrasso

John Barrasso

$4,435 Обс.

1%

icon for Steve Daines

Steve Daines

$24,200 Обс.

1%

icon for Patty Murray

Patty Murray

$5,031 Обс.

1%

icon for Cory Booker

Cory Booker

$3,751 Обс.

<1%

icon for Mark Kelly

Mark Kelly

$5,335 Обс.

<1%

icon for Amy Klobuchar

Amy Klobuchar

$4,673 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.The closely matched prices for John Thune and Chuck Schumer reflect trader consensus on the uncertain outcome of the 2026 Senate elections, scheduled for November 3, where Democrats need a net gain of four seats to claim the majority. Republicans currently hold a 53-47 edge but defend more competitive seats, creating a structural tilt offset by national polling trends, recent special-election results favoring Democrats, and rating shifts in battlegrounds such as North Carolina, Alaska, and Ohio. Intra-party dynamics, including any Republican frustration with legislative progress, add to the balance without decisive separation. Key upcoming factors include candidate recruitment, fundraising, and further polling movement that could clarify which party's leader assumes the role.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Обсяг
$151,712
Дата завершення
Jan 3, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.The closely matched prices for John Thune and Chuck Schumer reflect trader consensus on the uncertain outcome of the 2026 Senate elections, scheduled for November 3, where Democrats need a net gain of four seats to claim the majority. Republicans currently hold a 53-47 edge but defend more competitive seats, creating a structural tilt offset by national polling trends, recent special-election results favoring Democrats, and rating shifts in battlegrounds such as North Carolina, Alaska, and Ohio. Intra-party dynamics, including any Republican frustration with legislative progress, add to the balance without decisive separation. Key upcoming factors include candidate recruitment, fundraising, and further polling movement that could clarify which party's leader assumes the role.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Обсяг
$151,712
Дата завершення
Jan 3, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Next Senate Majority Leader?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 11 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «John Thune» з 42%, далі «Chuck Schumer» з 40%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Next Senate Majority Leader?» згенерував $151.7K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Mar 23, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Next Senate Majority Leader?», перегляньте 11 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Next Senate Majority Leader?» — «John Thune» з 42%. Наступний — «Chuck Schumer» з 40%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Next Senate Majority Leader?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.