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Вибори·Сенат

Next Senate Majority Leader?

icon for Next Senate Majority Leader?
Вибори·Сенат

Next Senate Majority Leader?

John Thune 28%

Chuck Schumer 23%

Tom Cotton 15.4%

Brian Schatz 10%

Polymarket

$63,442 Обс.

John Thune 28%

Chuck Schumer 23%

Tom Cotton 15.4%

Brian Schatz 10%

Polymarket

$63,442 Обс.

icon for John Thune

John Thune

$2,393 Обс.

28%

icon for Chuck Schumer

Chuck Schumer

$7,846 Обс.

23%

icon for Tom Cotton

Tom Cotton

$5,565 Обс.

15%

icon for Brian Schatz

Brian Schatz

$2,263 Обс.

10%

icon for Cory Booker

Cory Booker

$2,024 Обс.

3%

icon for Amy Klobuchar

Amy Klobuchar

$3,036 Обс.

3%

icon for Steve Daines

Steve Daines

$21,910 Обс.

3%

icon for John Barrasso

John Barrasso

$2,397 Обс.

3%

icon for Lindsey Graham

Lindsey Graham

$11,032 Обс.

2%

icon for Mark Kelly

Mark Kelly

$2,915 Обс.

1%

icon for Patty Murray

Patty Murray

$2,060 Обс.

1%

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.Uncertainty over which party secures Senate majority after the November 2026 elections drives the tight contest among top contenders for next majority leader. Republican John Thune holds the current post with 28.5 percent implied probability, while Democratic Minority Leader Chuck Schumer sits at 23.0 percent amid competitive races in states such as Maine, North Carolina, Ohio, and Alaska. Tom Cotton at 15.6 percent benefits from potential intraparty support if Republicans retain control, while Democratic options including Brian Schatz reflect internal caucus dynamics. Recent super PAC spending plans and primary developments have kept outcomes fluid, with traders weighing historical re-election rates and narrow margins that could shift leadership selection.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Обсяг
$63,442
Дата завершення
Jan 3, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.Uncertainty over which party secures Senate majority after the November 2026 elections drives the tight contest among top contenders for next majority leader. Republican John Thune holds the current post with 28.5 percent implied probability, while Democratic Minority Leader Chuck Schumer sits at 23.0 percent amid competitive races in states such as Maine, North Carolina, Ohio, and Alaska. Tom Cotton at 15.6 percent benefits from potential intraparty support if Republicans retain control, while Democratic options including Brian Schatz reflect internal caucus dynamics. Recent super PAC spending plans and primary developments have kept outcomes fluid, with traders weighing historical re-election rates and narrow margins that could shift leadership selection.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Обсяг
$63,442
Дата завершення
Jan 3, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Next Senate Majority Leader?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 11 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «John Thune» з 28%, далі «Chuck Schumer» з 23%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Next Senate Majority Leader?» згенерував $63.4K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Mar 23, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Next Senate Majority Leader?», перегляньте 11 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Next Senate Majority Leader?» — «John Thune» з 28%. Наступний — «Chuck Schumer» з 23%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Next Senate Majority Leader?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.