OpenAI’s September 1 blog post positioned Astra as the first large language model to reach its internal “critical cybersecurity capability” threshold, after the company paused frontier training runs for weeks to add safeguards following the July Hugging Face incident. The update confirmed resumed large-scale RL work on August 28, highlighted 100% ExploitBench performance plus zero-day discovery in evaluations, and stated the model would launch “soon” with restricted advanced cyber features initially limited to testers and Daybreak Blue partners. This combination of verified safety milestones, explicit “available soon” language, and competitive pressure from recent Anthropic releases has driven trader consensus toward an immediate rollout, with September 3 emerging as the dominant outcome while leaving room for last-minute access-tier or monitoring adjustments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоOpenAI's Astra released on...?
OpenAI's Astra released on...?
September 3 69.1%
On or prior to September 2 5.8%
September 24 4.9%
No release by September 30 5%
НОВЕ
$29,660 Обс.
НОВЕ
$29,660 Обс.
Sep 2, 2026
On or prior to September 2
6%
September 3
69%
September 4
11%
September 5
1%
September 6
1%
September 7
2%
September 8
2%
September 9
2%
September 10
2%
September 11
1%
September 12
1%
September 13
1%
September 14
1%
September 15
2%
September 16
1%
September 17
1%
September 18
1%
September 19
1%
September 20
1%
September 21
3%
September 22
1%
September 23
1%
September 24
5%
September 25
1%
September 26
1%
September 27
1%
September 28
1%
September 29
1%
September 30
1%
No release by September 30
5%
September 3 69.1%
On or prior to September 2 5.8%
September 24 4.9%
No release by September 30 5%
НОВЕ
$29,660 Обс.
НОВЕ
$29,660 Обс.
Sep 2, 2026
On or prior to September 2
$1,789 Обс.
6%
September 3
$3,351 Обс.
69%
September 4
$1,117 Обс.
11%
September 5
$688 Обс.
1%
September 6
$607 Обс.
1%
September 7
$750 Обс.
2%
September 8
$611 Обс.
2%
September 9
$610 Обс.
2%
September 10
$440 Обс.
2%
September 11
$733 Обс.
1%
September 12
$733 Обс.
1%
September 13
$794 Обс.
1%
September 14
$766 Обс.
1%
September 15
$1,185 Обс.
2%
September 16
$855 Обс.
1%
September 17
$855 Обс.
1%
September 18
$755 Обс.
1%
September 19
$755 Обс.
1%
September 20
$855 Обс.
1%
September 21
$1,015 Обс.
3%
September 22
$755 Обс.
1%
September 23
$712 Обс.
1%
September 24
$1,780 Обс.
5%
September 25
$1,015 Обс.
1%
September 26
$712 Обс.
1%
September 27
$1,433 Обс.
1%
September 28
$1,121 Обс.
1%
September 29
$755 Обс.
1%
September 30
$765 Обс.
1%
No release by September 30
$1,349 Обс.
5%
On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed "Astra," describing an internal version of Astra as its "next major model." You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI’s September 1 blog post positioned Astra as the first large language model to reach its internal “critical cybersecurity capability” threshold, after the company paused frontier training runs for weeks to add safeguards following the July Hugging Face incident. The update confirmed resumed large-scale RL work on August 28, highlighted 100% ExploitBench performance plus zero-day discovery in evaluations, and stated the model would launch “soon” with restricted advanced cyber features initially limited to testers and Daybreak Blue partners. This combination of verified safety milestones, explicit “available soon” language, and competitive pressure from recent Anthropic releases has driven trader consensus toward an immediate rollout, with September 3 emerging as the dominant outcome while leaving room for last-minute access-tier or monitoring adjustments.
On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed "Astra," describing an internal version of Astra as its "next major model." You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 1, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
Обсяг
$29,660Дата завершення
Sep 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 11:34 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed "Astra," describing an internal version of Astra as its "next major model." You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI’s September 1 blog post positioned Astra as the first large language model to reach its internal “critical cybersecurity capability” threshold, after the company paused frontier training runs for weeks to add safeguards following the July Hugging Face incident. The update confirmed resumed large-scale RL work on August 28, highlighted 100% ExploitBench performance plus zero-day discovery in evaluations, and stated the model would launch “soon” with restricted advanced cyber features initially limited to testers and Daybreak Blue partners. This combination of verified safety milestones, explicit “available soon” language, and competitive pressure from recent Anthropic releases has driven trader consensus toward an immediate rollout, with September 3 emerging as the dominant outcome while leaving room for last-minute access-tier or monitoring adjustments.
On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed "Astra," describing an internal version of Astra as its "next major model." You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$29,660Дата завершення
Sep 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 11:34 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s September 1 blog post positioned Astra as the first large language model to reach its internal “critical cybersecurity capability” threshold, after the company paused frontier training runs for weeks to add safeguards following the July Hugging Face incident. The update confirmed resumed large-scale RL work on August 28, highlighted 100% ExploitBench performance plus zero-day discovery in evaluations, and stated the model would launch “soon” with restricted advanced cyber features initially limited to testers and Daybreak Blue partners. This combination of verified safety milestones, explicit “available soon” language, and competitive pressure from recent Anthropic releases has driven trader consensus toward an immediate rollout, with September 3 emerging as the dominant outcome while leaving room for last-minute access-tier or monitoring adjustments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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