Democratic nominee Bob Brooks, a firefighter and union leader, won his party's May 2026 primary in Pennsylvania's 7th district and now faces Republican incumbent Ryan Mackenzie in the November general election. The Lehigh Valley seat flipped Republican in 2024 after six years of Democratic control and remains one of the most competitive House races on the cycle, with early polling and prediction markets showing Brooks ahead. Trader consensus reflected in the 76% Democratic price incorporates the typical midterm penalty for the president's party, Brooks' working-class profile and labor endorsements, and fundraising momentum, while the 24.5% Republican share accounts for Mackenzie's incumbency and the district's recent rightward shift. Scheduled events such as debates and fall campaign spending could still influence the outcome before Election Day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоPA-07 House Election Winner
PA-07 House Election Winner
$18,167 Обс.
$18,167 Обс.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
76%
Republican Party
25%
$18,167 Обс.
$18,167 Обс.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$16,476 Обс.
76%
Republican Party
$1,691 Обс.
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic nominee Bob Brooks, a firefighter and union leader, won his party's May 2026 primary in Pennsylvania's 7th district and now faces Republican incumbent Ryan Mackenzie in the November general election. The Lehigh Valley seat flipped Republican in 2024 after six years of Democratic control and remains one of the most competitive House races on the cycle, with early polling and prediction markets showing Brooks ahead. Trader consensus reflected in the 76% Democratic price incorporates the typical midterm penalty for the president's party, Brooks' working-class profile and labor endorsements, and fundraising momentum, while the 24.5% Republican share accounts for Mackenzie's incumbency and the district's recent rightward shift. Scheduled events such as debates and fall campaign spending could still influence the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Обсяг
$18,167Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic nominee Bob Brooks, a firefighter and union leader, won his party's May 2026 primary in Pennsylvania's 7th district and now faces Republican incumbent Ryan Mackenzie in the November general election. The Lehigh Valley seat flipped Republican in 2024 after six years of Democratic control and remains one of the most competitive House races on the cycle, with early polling and prediction markets showing Brooks ahead. Trader consensus reflected in the 76% Democratic price incorporates the typical midterm penalty for the president's party, Brooks' working-class profile and labor endorsements, and fundraising momentum, while the 24.5% Republican share accounts for Mackenzie's incumbency and the district's recent rightward shift. Scheduled events such as debates and fall campaign spending could still influence the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$18,167Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic nominee Bob Brooks, a firefighter and union leader, won his party's May 2026 primary in Pennsylvania's 7th district and now faces Republican incumbent Ryan Mackenzie in the November general election. The Lehigh Valley seat flipped Republican in 2024 after six years of Democratic control and remains one of the most competitive House races on the cycle, with early polling and prediction markets showing Brooks ahead. Trader consensus reflected in the 76% Democratic price incorporates the typical midterm penalty for the president's party, Brooks' working-class profile and labor endorsements, and fundraising momentum, while the 24.5% Republican share accounts for Mackenzie's incumbency and the district's recent rightward shift. Scheduled events such as debates and fall campaign spending could still influence the outcome before Election Day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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