In Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District, a toss-up swing seat in the Lehigh Valley rated R+1 by Cook Political Report, trader consensus prices Democrats at 71.5% to flip the seat from incumbent Republican Ryan Mackenzie, reflecting swing voter frustration with congressional inaction on rising housing, gas, and grocery costs amid broader midterm pressures on the president's party. With the May 19 Democratic primary days away, union leader and firefighter Bob Brooks dominates at 92% odds despite rival Ryan Crosswell's cash-on-hand edge ($435,000 vs. $250,000) per latest filings, positioning a unified Democratic challenge backed by competitive fundraising ($1.17 million total for Brooks). Mackenzie holds $2.59 million cash but faces headwinds from district history of alternating presidential margins and national focus on House control.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоPA-07 House Election Winner
PA-07 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
73%
Republican Party
46%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,585 Обс.
73%
Republican Party
$319 Обс.
46%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District, a toss-up swing seat in the Lehigh Valley rated R+1 by Cook Political Report, trader consensus prices Democrats at 71.5% to flip the seat from incumbent Republican Ryan Mackenzie, reflecting swing voter frustration with congressional inaction on rising housing, gas, and grocery costs amid broader midterm pressures on the president's party. With the May 19 Democratic primary days away, union leader and firefighter Bob Brooks dominates at 92% odds despite rival Ryan Crosswell's cash-on-hand edge ($435,000 vs. $250,000) per latest filings, positioning a unified Democratic challenge backed by competitive fundraising ($1.17 million total for Brooks). Mackenzie holds $2.59 million cash but faces headwinds from district history of alternating presidential margins and national focus on House control.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Обсяг
$3,904Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District, a toss-up swing seat in the Lehigh Valley rated R+1 by Cook Political Report, trader consensus prices Democrats at 71.5% to flip the seat from incumbent Republican Ryan Mackenzie, reflecting swing voter frustration with congressional inaction on rising housing, gas, and grocery costs amid broader midterm pressures on the president's party. With the May 19 Democratic primary days away, union leader and firefighter Bob Brooks dominates at 92% odds despite rival Ryan Crosswell's cash-on-hand edge ($435,000 vs. $250,000) per latest filings, positioning a unified Democratic challenge backed by competitive fundraising ($1.17 million total for Brooks). Mackenzie holds $2.59 million cash but faces headwinds from district history of alternating presidential margins and national focus on House control.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$3,904Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District, a toss-up swing seat in the Lehigh Valley rated R+1 by Cook Political Report, trader consensus prices Democrats at 71.5% to flip the seat from incumbent Republican Ryan Mackenzie, reflecting swing voter frustration with congressional inaction on rising housing, gas, and grocery costs amid broader midterm pressures on the president's party. With the May 19 Democratic primary days away, union leader and firefighter Bob Brooks dominates at 92% odds despite rival Ryan Crosswell's cash-on-hand edge ($435,000 vs. $250,000) per latest filings, positioning a unified Democratic challenge backed by competitive fundraising ($1.17 million total for Brooks). Mackenzie holds $2.59 million cash but faces headwinds from district history of alternating presidential margins and national focus on House control.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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