Skip to main content
icon for Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff
Політика·Сенат Техасу

Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff

icon for Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff
Політика·Сенат Техасу

Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff

1.2–1.5M 26.4%

0.6–0.9M 14%

0.9–1.2M 11%

1.5–1.8M 9.0%

Polymarket

$88,721 Обс.

1.2–1.5M 26.4%

0.6–0.9M 14%

0.9–1.2M 11%

1.5–1.8M 9.0%

Polymarket

$88,721 Обс.

<0.6M

$998 Обс.

3%

0.6–0.9M

$53,286 Обс.

14%

0.9–1.2M

$1,101 Обс.

18%

1.2–1.5M

$24,788 Обс.

37%

1.5–1.8M

$576 Обс.

9%

1.8–2.1M

$1,739 Обс.

32%

2.1–2.4M

$2,047 Обс.

1%

2.4–2.7M

$2,494 Обс.

1%

2.7M+

$1,693 Обс.

1%

The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 1.2–2.1 million votes for the Texas U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff, reflecting uncertainty in turnout drop-off from the record March first-round GOP primary amid a high-stakes contest between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton. A University of Houston poll released May 5 showed Paxton edging Cornyn 48%-45% among likely voters, fueling intense mobilization by establishment backers for Cornyn and Paxton's populist supporters, countering typical 40-60% historical runoff declines. Early voting begins May 18, with strong initial numbers, late endorsements, or favorable weather potentially boosting toward 1.8–2.1 million, while apathy or heat could pull toward lower bins.

The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Обсяг
$88,721
Дата завершення
May 26, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Mar 4, 2026, 3:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 1.2–2.1 million votes for the Texas U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff, reflecting uncertainty in turnout drop-off from the record March first-round GOP primary amid a high-stakes contest between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton. A University of Houston poll released May 5 showed Paxton edging Cornyn 48%-45% among likely voters, fueling intense mobilization by establishment backers for Cornyn and Paxton's populist supporters, countering typical 40-60% historical runoff declines. Early voting begins May 18, with strong initial numbers, late endorsements, or favorable weather potentially boosting toward 1.8–2.1 million, while apathy or heat could pull toward lower bins.

The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Обсяг
$88,721
Дата завершення
May 26, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Mar 4, 2026, 3:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 9 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «1.2–1.5M» з 37%, далі «1.8–2.1M» з 32%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff» згенерував $88.7K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Mar 4, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff», перегляньте 9 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff» — «1.2–1.5M» з 37%. Наступний — «1.8–2.1M» з 32%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.