The Texas Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff between incumbent John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton remains tightly contested ahead of the May 26 vote, with recent University of Houston polling showing Paxton ahead by just three points among likely GOP voters and roughly 90 percent of the electorate locked in from the March primary. Heavy negative advertising from both campaigns, including personal attacks funded by Cornyn’s significant spending advantage, has failed to produce decisive shifts, as third-place voters from Wesley Hunt have split without delivering a clear edge. This dynamic has concentrated trader expectations on narrow victory margins, reflecting the race’s limited undecided share and the structural barriers each candidate faces in expanding support before ballots close.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоPaxton 6–9% 23%
Cornyn <3% 19.9%
Paxton 9%+ 16.2%
Paxton 3–6% 14%
$59,275 Обс.
$59,275 Обс.
May 25, 2026
Paxton 9%+
16%
Paxton 6–9%
23%
Paxton 3–6%
14%
Paxton <3%
11%
Cornyn <3%
20%
Cornyn 3–6%
7%
Cornyn 6–9%
5%
Cornyn 9%+
10%
Paxton 6–9% 23%
Cornyn <3% 19.9%
Paxton 9%+ 16.2%
Paxton 3–6% 14%
$59,275 Обс.
$59,275 Обс.
May 25, 2026
Paxton 9%+
$11,914 Обс.
16%
Paxton 6–9%
$6,727 Обс.
23%
Paxton 3–6%
$5,750 Обс.
14%
Paxton <3%
$7,085 Обс.
11%
Cornyn <3%
$5,174 Обс.
20%
Cornyn 3–6%
$5,243 Обс.
7%
Cornyn 6–9%
$5,306 Обс.
5%
Cornyn 9%+
$12,076 Обс.
10%
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The Texas Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff between incumbent John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton remains tightly contested ahead of the May 26 vote, with recent University of Houston polling showing Paxton ahead by just three points among likely GOP voters and roughly 90 percent of the electorate locked in from the March primary. Heavy negative advertising from both campaigns, including personal attacks funded by Cornyn’s significant spending advantage, has failed to produce decisive shifts, as third-place voters from Wesley Hunt have split without delivering a clear edge. This dynamic has concentrated trader expectations on narrow victory margins, reflecting the race’s limited undecided share and the structural barriers each candidate faces in expanding support before ballots close.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Ринок відкрито: Mar 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ET
Обсяг
$59,275Дата завершення
May 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Mar 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The Texas Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff between incumbent John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton remains tightly contested ahead of the May 26 vote, with recent University of Houston polling showing Paxton ahead by just three points among likely GOP voters and roughly 90 percent of the electorate locked in from the March primary. Heavy negative advertising from both campaigns, including personal attacks funded by Cornyn’s significant spending advantage, has failed to produce decisive shifts, as third-place voters from Wesley Hunt have split without delivering a clear edge. This dynamic has concentrated trader expectations on narrow victory margins, reflecting the race’s limited undecided share and the structural barriers each candidate faces in expanding support before ballots close.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Обсяг
$59,275Дата завершення
May 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Mar 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Texas Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff between incumbent John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton remains tightly contested ahead of the May 26 vote, with recent University of Houston polling showing Paxton ahead by just three points among likely GOP voters and roughly 90 percent of the electorate locked in from the March primary. Heavy negative advertising from both campaigns, including personal attacks funded by Cornyn’s significant spending advantage, has failed to produce decisive shifts, as third-place voters from Wesley Hunt have split without delivering a clear edge. This dynamic has concentrated trader expectations on narrow victory margins, reflecting the race’s limited undecided share and the structural barriers each candidate faces in expanding support before ballots close.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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