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Політика·House Primary

CA-41 Primary Winners

icon for CA-41 Primary Winners
Політика·House Primary

CA-41 Primary Winners

НОВЕ
Jun 2, 2026
Polymarket

$4,428 Обс.

Polymarket

Linda Sánchez

$2,561 Обс.

95%

Mitch Clemmons

$230 Обс.

85%

Hector De La Torre

$176 Обс.

28%

Shonique Williams

$1,461 Обс.

6%

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 41th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In California's newly redrawn 41st Congressional District—shifted to southeast Los Angeles County via Proposition 50 voter approval last November—Democratic incumbent Rep. Linda Sánchez dominates fundraising with over $1.2 million raised through March, far ahead of challenger Hector De La Torre's $502,000 and Shonique Williams' $63,000, bolstering her frontrunner status ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Republican Mitch Clemmons rounds out the field after several Democratic hopefuls withdrew post-filing deadline. Absent public polling, trader consensus hinges on Sánchez's incumbency edge in this Democratic-leaning seat and low primary turnout dynamics, with ballots mailing soon and early voting starting late May potentially swaying intra-party positioning for the November general.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 41th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$4,428
Дата завершення
Jun 2, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 22, 2026, 6:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 41th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 41th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In California's newly redrawn 41st Congressional District—shifted to southeast Los Angeles County via Proposition 50 voter approval last November—Democratic incumbent Rep. Linda Sánchez dominates fundraising with over $1.2 million raised through March, far ahead of challenger Hector De La Torre's $502,000 and Shonique Williams' $63,000, bolstering her frontrunner status ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Republican Mitch Clemmons rounds out the field after several Democratic hopefuls withdrew post-filing deadline. Absent public polling, trader consensus hinges on Sánchez's incumbency edge in this Democratic-leaning seat and low primary turnout dynamics, with ballots mailing soon and early voting starting late May potentially swaying intra-party positioning for the November general.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 41th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$4,428
Дата завершення
Jun 2, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 22, 2026, 6:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 41th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«CA-41 Primary Winners» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 4 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Linda Sánchez» з 95%, далі «Mitch Clemmons» з 85%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«CA-41 Primary Winners» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Apr 22, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «CA-41 Primary Winners», перегляньте 4 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «CA-41 Primary Winners» — «Linda Sánchez» з 95%. Наступний — «Mitch Clemmons» з 85%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «CA-41 Primary Winners» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.