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Політика·Первинні

NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner
Політика·Первинні

NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner

Ritchie Torres 92%

Michael Blake 5.5%

Dalourny Nemorin 1.6%

Amanda Septimo <1%

Polymarket

$30,059 Обс.

Ritchie Torres 92%

Michael Blake 5.5%

Dalourny Nemorin 1.6%

Amanda Septimo <1%

Polymarket

$30,059 Обс.

Ritchie Torres

$5,228 Обс.

92%

Michael Blake

$3,259 Обс.

6%

Dalourny Nemorin

$14,356 Обс.

2%

Amanda Septimo

$7,216 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Ritchie Torres commands 92% trader consensus in the NY-15 Democratic primary on June 23, driven by his three-term incumbency advantage, dominant fundraising with millions in cash on hand far outpacing challengers, and endorsements from Nancy Pelosi, Hakeem Jeffries, and Bronx Democratic leaders like Carl Heastie. Dalourny Nemorin's campaign suspension on April 23 has consolidated the field behind Torres, leaving former Assemblymember Michael Blake—criticizing Torres' pro-Israel stance amid progressive pushback—as the main threat, with Amanda Septimo trailing far behind. Despite ideological tensions in this Bronx district, traders see low upset risk absent a major scandal, late endorsement shift, or turnout surge favoring insurgents.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$30,059
Дата завершення
Jun 23, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 25, 2025, 3:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Ritchie Torres commands 92% trader consensus in the NY-15 Democratic primary on June 23, driven by his three-term incumbency advantage, dominant fundraising with millions in cash on hand far outpacing challengers, and endorsements from Nancy Pelosi, Hakeem Jeffries, and Bronx Democratic leaders like Carl Heastie. Dalourny Nemorin's campaign suspension on April 23 has consolidated the field behind Torres, leaving former Assemblymember Michael Blake—criticizing Torres' pro-Israel stance amid progressive pushback—as the main threat, with Amanda Septimo trailing far behind. Despite ideological tensions in this Bronx district, traders see low upset risk absent a major scandal, late endorsement shift, or turnout surge favoring insurgents.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$30,059
Дата завершення
Jun 23, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 25, 2025, 3:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 4 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Ritchie Torres» з 92%, далі «Michael Blake» з 6%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner» згенерував $30.1K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Nov 25, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner», перегляньте 4 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner» — «Ritchie Torres» з 92%. Наступний — «Michael Blake» з 6%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.