In South Carolina's open 1st Congressional District Republican primary on June 9, state House Majority Leader Mark Smith commands trader consensus at 68.5% implied probability, driven by his April 17 GOP forum straw poll win at 34.1% among attendees—edging retired Air Force Lt. Col. Alex Pelbath, now at 19.5%—and strong fundraising as an early entrant with conservative credentials. Smith's legislative experience and recent endorsements, including from Sen. Tom Davis, bolster his frontrunner status in the fragmented 10-candidate field, where others like Jack Ellison and Jenny Costa Honeycutt trail below 5%. No major developments in the past week, but proximity to early voting keeps markets sensitive to late endorsements or debates.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMark Smith 69%
Alex Pelbath 20%
Jenny Costa Honeycutt 4.0%
Jay Byars 3.9%
$14,326 Обс.
$14,326 Обс.
Jun 9, 2026
Mark Smith
69%
Alex Pelbath
20%
Jenny Costa Honeycutt
4%
Jay Byars
4%
Jack Ellison
4%
Sam McCown
2%
Logan Cunningham
1%
Justin Myers
1%
Dan Brown
1%
Mark Smith 69%
Alex Pelbath 20%
Jenny Costa Honeycutt 4.0%
Jay Byars 3.9%
$14,326 Обс.
$14,326 Обс.
Jun 9, 2026
Mark Smith
$5,629 Обс.
69%
Alex Pelbath
$2,445 Обс.
20%
Jenny Costa Honeycutt
$643 Обс.
4%
Jay Byars
$681 Обс.
4%
Jack Ellison
$945 Обс.
4%
Sam McCown
$2,007 Обс.
2%
Logan Cunningham
$733 Обс.
1%
Justin Myers
$603 Обс.
1%
Dan Brown
$641 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In South Carolina's open 1st Congressional District Republican primary on June 9, state House Majority Leader Mark Smith commands trader consensus at 68.5% implied probability, driven by his April 17 GOP forum straw poll win at 34.1% among attendees—edging retired Air Force Lt. Col. Alex Pelbath, now at 19.5%—and strong fundraising as an early entrant with conservative credentials. Smith's legislative experience and recent endorsements, including from Sen. Tom Davis, bolster his frontrunner status in the fragmented 10-candidate field, where others like Jack Ellison and Jenny Costa Honeycutt trail below 5%. No major developments in the past week, but proximity to early voting keeps markets sensitive to late endorsements or debates.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Ринок відкрито: Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Обсяг
$14,326Дата завершення
Jun 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In South Carolina's open 1st Congressional District Republican primary on June 9, state House Majority Leader Mark Smith commands trader consensus at 68.5% implied probability, driven by his April 17 GOP forum straw poll win at 34.1% among attendees—edging retired Air Force Lt. Col. Alex Pelbath, now at 19.5%—and strong fundraising as an early entrant with conservative credentials. Smith's legislative experience and recent endorsements, including from Sen. Tom Davis, bolster his frontrunner status in the fragmented 10-candidate field, where others like Jack Ellison and Jenny Costa Honeycutt trail below 5%. No major developments in the past week, but proximity to early voting keeps markets sensitive to late endorsements or debates.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$14,326Дата завершення
Jun 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In South Carolina's open 1st Congressional District Republican primary on June 9, state House Majority Leader Mark Smith commands trader consensus at 68.5% implied probability, driven by his April 17 GOP forum straw poll win at 34.1% among attendees—edging retired Air Force Lt. Col. Alex Pelbath, now at 19.5%—and strong fundraising as an early entrant with conservative credentials. Smith's legislative experience and recent endorsements, including from Sen. Tom Davis, bolster his frontrunner status in the fragmented 10-candidate field, where others like Jack Ellison and Jenny Costa Honeycutt trail below 5%. No major developments in the past week, but proximity to early voting keeps markets sensitive to late endorsements or debates.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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