Incumbent Rep. Darrell Issa's March 2026 retirement from the redrawn, Democratic-leaning CA-48 has opened a competitive nonpartisan top-two primary on June 2, drawing over nine Democratic candidates against Republican frontrunner San Diego County Supervisor Jim Desmond, whom Issa endorsed. Late April Tulchin Research polling shows Desmond leading at 27%, ahead of Democrats Marni von Wilpert (16%) and Ammar Campa-Najjar (13%), with the crowded Democratic field risking vote-splitting that could advance two Republicans to November. Recent candidate forums and endorsements underscore ongoing Democratic infighting, while high early voting turnout could tip the balance in this swing district stretching from San Diego suburbs to Palm Springs.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоНОВЕ
Jun 2, 2026
Jim Desmond
93%
Ammar Campa-Najjar
63%
Marni von Wilpert
36%
Brandon Riker
28%
Abel Chavez
7%
Corinna Contreras
6%
Mike Schaefer
5%
Kevin O'Neil
4%
Ferguson Porter
2%
Luis Reyna
2%
Eric Shaw
2%
Stephen Clemons
2%
$3,194 Обс.
Jim Desmond
$180 Обс.
93%
Ammar Campa-Najjar
$587 Обс.
63%
Marni von Wilpert
$287 Обс.
36%
Brandon Riker
$475 Обс.
28%
Abel Chavez
$143 Обс.
7%
Corinna Contreras
$183 Обс.
6%
Mike Schaefer
$41 Обс.
5%
Kevin O'Neil
$265 Обс.
4%
Ferguson Porter
$281 Обс.
2%
Luis Reyna
$249 Обс.
2%
Eric Shaw
$344 Обс.
2%
Stephen Clemons
$158 Обс.
2%
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Darrell Issa's March 2026 retirement from the redrawn, Democratic-leaning CA-48 has opened a competitive nonpartisan top-two primary on June 2, drawing over nine Democratic candidates against Republican frontrunner San Diego County Supervisor Jim Desmond, whom Issa endorsed. Late April Tulchin Research polling shows Desmond leading at 27%, ahead of Democrats Marni von Wilpert (16%) and Ammar Campa-Najjar (13%), with the crowded Democratic field risking vote-splitting that could advance two Republicans to November. Recent candidate forums and endorsements underscore ongoing Democratic infighting, while high early voting turnout could tip the balance in this swing district stretching from San Diego suburbs to Palm Springs.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 22, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Обсяг
$3,194Дата завершення
Jun 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 22, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Darrell Issa's March 2026 retirement from the redrawn, Democratic-leaning CA-48 has opened a competitive nonpartisan top-two primary on June 2, drawing over nine Democratic candidates against Republican frontrunner San Diego County Supervisor Jim Desmond, whom Issa endorsed. Late April Tulchin Research polling shows Desmond leading at 27%, ahead of Democrats Marni von Wilpert (16%) and Ammar Campa-Najjar (13%), with the crowded Democratic field risking vote-splitting that could advance two Republicans to November. Recent candidate forums and endorsements underscore ongoing Democratic infighting, while high early voting turnout could tip the balance in this swing district stretching from San Diego suburbs to Palm Springs.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$3,194Дата завершення
Jun 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 22, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Rep. Darrell Issa's March 2026 retirement from the redrawn, Democratic-leaning CA-48 has opened a competitive nonpartisan top-two primary on June 2, drawing over nine Democratic candidates against Republican frontrunner San Diego County Supervisor Jim Desmond, whom Issa endorsed. Late April Tulchin Research polling shows Desmond leading at 27%, ahead of Democrats Marni von Wilpert (16%) and Ammar Campa-Najjar (13%), with the crowded Democratic field risking vote-splitting that could advance two Republicans to November. Recent candidate forums and endorsements underscore ongoing Democratic infighting, while high early voting turnout could tip the balance in this swing district stretching from San Diego suburbs to Palm Springs.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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