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Вибори·Сенат Техасу

Will Ken Paxton drop out?

icon for Will Ken Paxton drop out?
Вибори·Сенат Техасу

Will Ken Paxton drop out?

3% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
3% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ken Paxton withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Texas Senate Republican Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by May 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton remains locked in the Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff against incumbent John Cornyn on May 26, following the March 17 deadline to withdraw from the ballot, which passed without action despite his earlier conditional offer to exit if Senate GOP leadership lifted the filibuster for the SAVE Act—a proposal that failed to advance. Recent polls, including a May 5 survey showing Paxton competitive, alongside his active campaign trail presence and endorsement of Mayes Middleton in the simultaneous attorney general runoff, reinforce trader consensus at 95.7% against dropout. While entrenched after surviving past scandals like his 2023 impeachment acquittal and 2025 divorce, a late-breaking endorsement shift from Donald Trump, major legal reversal, or health issue could still prompt withdrawal before election day.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ken Paxton withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Texas Senate Republican Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by May 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$5,869
Дата завершення
May 25, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Mar 9, 2026, 12:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ken Paxton withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Texas Senate Republican Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by May 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ken Paxton withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Texas Senate Republican Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by May 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton remains locked in the Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff against incumbent John Cornyn on May 26, following the March 17 deadline to withdraw from the ballot, which passed without action despite his earlier conditional offer to exit if Senate GOP leadership lifted the filibuster for the SAVE Act—a proposal that failed to advance. Recent polls, including a May 5 survey showing Paxton competitive, alongside his active campaign trail presence and endorsement of Mayes Middleton in the simultaneous attorney general runoff, reinforce trader consensus at 95.7% against dropout. While entrenched after surviving past scandals like his 2023 impeachment acquittal and 2025 divorce, a late-breaking endorsement shift from Donald Trump, major legal reversal, or health issue could still prompt withdrawal before election day.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ken Paxton withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Texas Senate Republican Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by May 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$5,869
Дата завершення
May 25, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Mar 9, 2026, 12:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ken Paxton withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Texas Senate Republican Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by May 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Will Ken Paxton drop out?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 3% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 3¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 3%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Will Ken Paxton drop out?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Mar 9, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Will Ken Paxton drop out?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Will Ken Paxton drop out?» — 3% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 3% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «Will Ken Paxton drop out?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.