**Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 84.5% because, despite escalating US scrutiny of Chinese AI developers, no formal government action has removed public access to a major open-weight model like those from Alibaba’s Qwen, DeepSeek, or Moonshot.** In September 2026, the FBI, NSA, and CISA issued a joint advisory accusing six Chinese firms of industrial-scale distillation from US models such as Claude and GPT, prompting congressional calls for procurement restrictions. A brief episode saw the Federal Register temporarily deploy a small Qwen variant before swift removal amid public backlash, highlighting policy contradictions rather than broad enforcement. Industry lobbying from US tech firms and startups has emphasized risks to innovation and global competitiveness, while recent US-China talks focused on incident notification rather than model bans. Open-weight releases continue without interruption, and traders view outright public-access removal as unlikely absent a major security incident or new legislation before year-end.