The closely contested trader consensus on Washington’s Initiative IL26-638 reflects divided public opinion ahead of the November 3, 2026, ballot. Supporters, led by Let’s Go Washington, emphasize preserving fair competition in girls’ school sports by barring biologically male students and requiring healthcare-provider verification of sex via reproductive anatomy, genetics, or testosterone levels for all participants. A June 2026 Supreme Court ruling upholding similar restrictions in other states provided momentum. Opponents, including No Hate in Washington State and unions, highlight privacy concerns, potential forced outing, and the measure’s broad application to every girl seeking to compete, framing it as more intrusive than policies elsewhere. Active campaigns, internal polling showing majority support with favorable wording, and the Seattle Times endorsement against the measure sustain the narrow edge toward rejection.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWashington passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?
Washington passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?
48% шанс
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Mar 31, 2027
48% шанс
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Mar 31, 2027
Washington ballot initiative IL26-638 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain school sports based on an individual's biological sex.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/). The closely contested trader consensus on Washington’s Initiative IL26-638 reflects divided public opinion ahead of the November 3, 2026, ballot. Supporters, led by Let’s Go Washington, emphasize preserving fair competition in girls’ school sports by barring biologically male students and requiring healthcare-provider verification of sex via reproductive anatomy, genetics, or testosterone levels for all participants. A June 2026 Supreme Court ruling upholding similar restrictions in other states provided momentum. Opponents, including No Hate in Washington State and unions, highlight privacy concerns, potential forced outing, and the measure’s broad application to every girl seeking to compete, framing it as more intrusive than policies elsewhere. Active campaigns, internal polling showing majority support with favorable wording, and the Seattle Times endorsement against the measure sustain the narrow edge toward rejection.
Washington ballot initiative IL26-638 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain school sports based on an individual's biological sex.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jul 30, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
Обсяг
$623Дата завершення
Apr 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jul 30, 2026, 3:41 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Washington ballot initiative IL26-638 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain school sports based on an individual's biological sex.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/). The closely contested trader consensus on Washington’s Initiative IL26-638 reflects divided public opinion ahead of the November 3, 2026, ballot. Supporters, led by Let’s Go Washington, emphasize preserving fair competition in girls’ school sports by barring biologically male students and requiring healthcare-provider verification of sex via reproductive anatomy, genetics, or testosterone levels for all participants. A June 2026 Supreme Court ruling upholding similar restrictions in other states provided momentum. Opponents, including No Hate in Washington State and unions, highlight privacy concerns, potential forced outing, and the measure’s broad application to every girl seeking to compete, framing it as more intrusive than policies elsewhere. Active campaigns, internal polling showing majority support with favorable wording, and the Seattle Times endorsement against the measure sustain the narrow edge toward rejection.
Washington ballot initiative IL26-638 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain school sports based on an individual's biological sex.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/).
Обсяг
$623Дата завершення
Apr 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jul 30, 2026, 3:41 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...The closely contested trader consensus on Washington’s Initiative IL26-638 reflects divided public opinion ahead of the November 3, 2026, ballot. Supporters, led by Let’s Go Washington, emphasize preserving fair competition in girls’ school sports by barring biologically male students and requiring healthcare-provider verification of sex via reproductive anatomy, genetics, or testosterone levels for all participants. A June 2026 Supreme Court ruling upholding similar restrictions in other states provided momentum. Opponents, including No Hate in Washington State and unions, highlight privacy concerns, potential forced outing, and the measure’s broad application to every girl seeking to compete, framing it as more intrusive than policies elsewhere. Active campaigns, internal polling showing majority support with favorable wording, and the Seattle Times endorsement against the measure sustain the narrow edge toward rejection.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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