Geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran have emerged as the dominant driver of WTI crude oil prices in May 2026, with restrictions on tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz tightening global supply and pushing futures above $100 per barrel amid rapid inventory draws. Recent EIA data show builds easing while exports rise, yet the effective closure has created a risk premium that outweighs softening Chinese demand signals and steady US shale output. Trader sentiment reflects this supply shock, with backwardation in the futures curve signaling near-term tightness, though de-escalation talks could ease pressures ahead of the June OPEC+ meeting and the next weekly petroleum status report.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$18,693,879 Обс.
↑ $200
1%
↑ $150
2%
↑ $140
4%
↑ $130
13%
↑ $120
27%
↑ $115
45%
↑ $110
62%
↑ $105
91%
↓ $95
41%
↓ $90
26%
↓ $85
14%
↓ $80
8%
↓ $70
3%
↓ $60
1%
↓ $40
<1%
↓ $20
<1%
↓ $50
<1%
↓ $30
<1%
$18,693,879 Обс.
↑ $200
1%
↑ $150
2%
↑ $140
4%
↑ $130
13%
↑ $120
27%
↑ $115
45%
↑ $110
62%
↑ $105
91%
↓ $95
41%
↓ $90
26%
↓ $85
14%
↓ $80
8%
↓ $70
3%
↓ $60
1%
↓ $40
<1%
↓ $20
<1%
↓ $50
<1%
↓ $30
<1%
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date.
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 30, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTIResolver
0x65070BE91...Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date.
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Джерело вирішення
https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTIResolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran have emerged as the dominant driver of WTI crude oil prices in May 2026, with restrictions on tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz tightening global supply and pushing futures above $100 per barrel amid rapid inventory draws. Recent EIA data show builds easing while exports rise, yet the effective closure has created a risk premium that outweighs softening Chinese demand signals and steady US shale output. Trader sentiment reflects this supply shock, with backwardation in the futures curve signaling near-term tightness, though de-escalation talks could ease pressures ahead of the June OPEC+ meeting and the next weekly petroleum status report.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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