The upcoming UK Autumn Budget on 28 October 2026, to be delivered by Chancellor John Healey, is shaped by the need to fund a £15 billion defense spending increase to £80 billion annually by 2029 without additional borrowing, following identified savings shortfalls of £4.7 billion after earlier departmental cuts. This occurs against a backdrop of manifesto commitments ruling out rises in income tax, National Insurance, or VAT, alongside fiscal pressures from elevated public borrowing, moderating GDP growth projections around 1.4-1.5%, and inflation trends near 2.5%. Trader attention centers on potential measures for fiscal consolidation, such as adjustments to capital allowances, business rates relief, or targeted levies on high-value assets and gaming duties, while protecting core public investment and cost-of-living supports like fuel duty phasing and benefit uprating. Recent defense reallocations from transport and energy budgets highlight the tight spending envelope ahead of the OBR's accompanying economic forecast.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоНОВЕ
Oct 28, 2026
CGT increase
70%
Fuel duty increase
41%
Wealth tax
21%
Land value tax
51%
$65 Обс.
CGT increase
$0 Обс.
70%
Fuel duty increase
$0 Обс.
41%
Wealth tax
$35 Обс.
21%
Land value tax
$30 Обс.
51%
The UK Autumn Budget 2026 is scheduled to be delivered to Parliament by Chancellor of the Exchequer John Healey on October 28, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed measure is announced in the 2026 Autumn Budget. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the listed options are defined as follows:
- Wealth tax: the introduction of an annual percentage-based levy on the value of a person's assets.
- Land value tax: the introduction of a percentage-based levy on the value of a person's home.
- Fuel duty increase: an increase to the rate of fuel duty.
- CGT increase: an increase to any rate of capital gains tax.
A measure will only count if it is announced in the Chancellor's Budget speech or contained in the official Budget documents published by HM Treasury on the day of the Budget. Measures that are only consulted on, reviewed, or otherwise not announced as government policy will not count.
For the fuel duty option, the ending or non-renewal of the existing fuel duty freeze, such that the rate of fuel duty rises, will count as an increase.
If the 2026 Autumn Budget is delayed beyond October 28, 2026, this market will resolve according to the Budget whenever it is delivered, provided it is delivered by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no Budget is delivered by that date, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from HM Treasury and the UK government, including the published Budget documents; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The upcoming UK Autumn Budget on 28 October 2026, to be delivered by Chancellor John Healey, is shaped by the need to fund a £15 billion defense spending increase to £80 billion annually by 2029 without additional borrowing, following identified savings shortfalls of £4.7 billion after earlier departmental cuts. This occurs against a backdrop of manifesto commitments ruling out rises in income tax, National Insurance, or VAT, alongside fiscal pressures from elevated public borrowing, moderating GDP growth projections around 1.4-1.5%, and inflation trends near 2.5%. Trader attention centers on potential measures for fiscal consolidation, such as adjustments to capital allowances, business rates relief, or targeted levies on high-value assets and gaming duties, while protecting core public investment and cost-of-living supports like fuel duty phasing and benefit uprating. Recent defense reallocations from transport and energy budgets highlight the tight spending envelope ahead of the OBR's accompanying economic forecast.
The UK Autumn Budget 2026 is scheduled to be delivered to Parliament by Chancellor of the Exchequer John Healey on October 28, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed measure is announced in the 2026 Autumn Budget. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the listed options are defined as follows:
- Wealth tax: the introduction of an annual percentage-based levy on the value of a person's assets.
- Land value tax: the introduction of a percentage-based levy on the value of a person's home.
- Fuel duty increase: an increase to the rate of fuel duty.
- CGT increase: an increase to any rate of capital gains tax.
A measure will only count if it is announced in the Chancellor's Budget speech or contained in the official Budget documents published by HM Treasury on the day of the Budget. Measures that are only consulted on, reviewed, or otherwise not announced as government policy will not count.
For the fuel duty option, the ending or non-renewal of the existing fuel duty freeze, such that the rate of fuel duty rises, will count as an increase.
If the 2026 Autumn Budget is delayed beyond October 28, 2026, this market will resolve according to the Budget whenever it is delivered, provided it is delivered by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no Budget is delivered by that date, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from HM Treasury and the UK government, including the published Budget documents; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed measure is announced in the 2026 Autumn Budget. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the listed options are defined as follows:
- Wealth tax: the introduction of an annual percentage-based levy on the value of a person's assets.
- Land value tax: the introduction of a percentage-based levy on the value of a person's home.
- Fuel duty increase: an increase to the rate of fuel duty.
- CGT increase: an increase to any rate of capital gains tax.
A measure will only count if it is announced in the Chancellor's Budget speech or contained in the official Budget documents published by HM Treasury on the day of the Budget. Measures that are only consulted on, reviewed, or otherwise not announced as government policy will not count.
For the fuel duty option, the ending or non-renewal of the existing fuel duty freeze, such that the rate of fuel duty rises, will count as an increase.
If the 2026 Autumn Budget is delayed beyond October 28, 2026, this market will resolve according to the Budget whenever it is delivered, provided it is delivered by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no Budget is delivered by that date, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from HM Treasury and the UK government, including the published Budget documents; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 17, 2026, 6:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$65Дата завершення
Oct 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 6:56 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...The UK Autumn Budget 2026 is scheduled to be delivered to Parliament by Chancellor of the Exchequer John Healey on October 28, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed measure is announced in the 2026 Autumn Budget. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the listed options are defined as follows:
- Wealth tax: the introduction of an annual percentage-based levy on the value of a person's assets.
- Land value tax: the introduction of a percentage-based levy on the value of a person's home.
- Fuel duty increase: an increase to the rate of fuel duty.
- CGT increase: an increase to any rate of capital gains tax.
A measure will only count if it is announced in the Chancellor's Budget speech or contained in the official Budget documents published by HM Treasury on the day of the Budget. Measures that are only consulted on, reviewed, or otherwise not announced as government policy will not count.
For the fuel duty option, the ending or non-renewal of the existing fuel duty freeze, such that the rate of fuel duty rises, will count as an increase.
If the 2026 Autumn Budget is delayed beyond October 28, 2026, this market will resolve according to the Budget whenever it is delivered, provided it is delivered by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no Budget is delivered by that date, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from HM Treasury and the UK government, including the published Budget documents; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The upcoming UK Autumn Budget on 28 October 2026, to be delivered by Chancellor John Healey, is shaped by the need to fund a £15 billion defense spending increase to £80 billion annually by 2029 without additional borrowing, following identified savings shortfalls of £4.7 billion after earlier departmental cuts. This occurs against a backdrop of manifesto commitments ruling out rises in income tax, National Insurance, or VAT, alongside fiscal pressures from elevated public borrowing, moderating GDP growth projections around 1.4-1.5%, and inflation trends near 2.5%. Trader attention centers on potential measures for fiscal consolidation, such as adjustments to capital allowances, business rates relief, or targeted levies on high-value assets and gaming duties, while protecting core public investment and cost-of-living supports like fuel duty phasing and benefit uprating. Recent defense reallocations from transport and energy budgets highlight the tight spending envelope ahead of the OBR's accompanying economic forecast.
The UK Autumn Budget 2026 is scheduled to be delivered to Parliament by Chancellor of the Exchequer John Healey on October 28, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed measure is announced in the 2026 Autumn Budget. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the listed options are defined as follows:
- Wealth tax: the introduction of an annual percentage-based levy on the value of a person's assets.
- Land value tax: the introduction of a percentage-based levy on the value of a person's home.
- Fuel duty increase: an increase to the rate of fuel duty.
- CGT increase: an increase to any rate of capital gains tax.
A measure will only count if it is announced in the Chancellor's Budget speech or contained in the official Budget documents published by HM Treasury on the day of the Budget. Measures that are only consulted on, reviewed, or otherwise not announced as government policy will not count.
For the fuel duty option, the ending or non-renewal of the existing fuel duty freeze, such that the rate of fuel duty rises, will count as an increase.
If the 2026 Autumn Budget is delayed beyond October 28, 2026, this market will resolve according to the Budget whenever it is delivered, provided it is delivered by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no Budget is delivered by that date, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from HM Treasury and the UK government, including the published Budget documents; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed measure is announced in the 2026 Autumn Budget. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, the listed options are defined as follows:
- Wealth tax: the introduction of an annual percentage-based levy on the value of a person's assets.
- Land value tax: the introduction of a percentage-based levy on the value of a person's home.
- Fuel duty increase: an increase to the rate of fuel duty.
- CGT increase: an increase to any rate of capital gains tax.
A measure will only count if it is announced in the Chancellor's Budget speech or contained in the official Budget documents published by HM Treasury on the day of the Budget. Measures that are only consulted on, reviewed, or otherwise not announced as government policy will not count.
For the fuel duty option, the ending or non-renewal of the existing fuel duty freeze, such that the rate of fuel duty rises, will count as an increase.
If the 2026 Autumn Budget is delayed beyond October 28, 2026, this market will resolve according to the Budget whenever it is delivered, provided it is delivered by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no Budget is delivered by that date, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from HM Treasury and the UK government, including the published Budget documents; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$65Дата завершення
Oct 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 17, 2026, 6:56 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...The upcoming UK Autumn Budget on 28 October 2026, to be delivered by Chancellor John Healey, is shaped by the need to fund a £15 billion defense spending increase to £80 billion annually by 2029 without additional borrowing, following identified savings shortfalls of £4.7 billion after earlier departmental cuts. This occurs against a backdrop of manifesto commitments ruling out rises in income tax, National Insurance, or VAT, alongside fiscal pressures from elevated public borrowing, moderating GDP growth projections around 1.4-1.5%, and inflation trends near 2.5%. Trader attention centers on potential measures for fiscal consolidation, such as adjustments to capital allowances, business rates relief, or targeted levies on high-value assets and gaming duties, while protecting core public investment and cost-of-living supports like fuel duty phasing and benefit uprating. Recent defense reallocations from transport and energy budgets highlight the tight spending envelope ahead of the OBR's accompanying economic forecast.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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