Widespread afternoon thunderstorms across the southeastern and south-central United States, fueled by extreme heat and high humidity, represent the main driver of current market-implied odds for rain on September 5. National Weather Service observations confirm heavy rainfall and thunderstorms in Alabama (1.60 inches in Montgomery) and Kentucky (0.23 inches in Louisville), alongside scattered activity in Florida and Georgia tied to typical late-summer convective patterns. A quasi-stationary low-pressure system is also delivering heavy to very heavy rain across parts of northern and central India. Model consensus from NOAA shows limited activity in the Northeast and West, with drier conditions prevailing in New York. Traders should monitor any final NWS updates on localized storm tracks before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhere will it rain on September 5?
New York, NY
15%
Los Angeles, CA
3%
Chicago, IL
-
Houston, TX
50%
Dallas, TX
3%
Phoenix, AZ
4%
Philadelphia, PA
21%
Denver, CO
50%
Washington, DC
50%
Atlanta, GA
50%
Miami, FL
99%
Seattle, WA
23%
Boston, MA
49%
New Orleans, LA
97%
San Francisco, CA
4%
$1,840 Обс.
New York, NY
15%
Los Angeles, CA
3%
Chicago, IL
-
Houston, TX
50%
Dallas, TX
3%
Phoenix, AZ
4%
Philadelphia, PA
21%
Denver, CO
50%
Washington, DC
50%
Atlanta, GA
50%
Miami, FL
99%
Seattle, WA
23%
Boston, MA
49%
New Orleans, LA
97%
San Francisco, CA
4%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 4, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Вирішувач
0x65070BE91...Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Вирішувач
0x65070BE91...Widespread afternoon thunderstorms across the southeastern and south-central United States, fueled by extreme heat and high humidity, represent the main driver of current market-implied odds for rain on September 5. National Weather Service observations confirm heavy rainfall and thunderstorms in Alabama (1.60 inches in Montgomery) and Kentucky (0.23 inches in Louisville), alongside scattered activity in Florida and Georgia tied to typical late-summer convective patterns. A quasi-stationary low-pressure system is also delivering heavy to very heavy rain across parts of northern and central India. Model consensus from NOAA shows limited activity in the Northeast and West, with drier conditions prevailing in New York. Traders should monitor any final NWS updates on localized storm tracks before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

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