Anthropic holds overwhelming trader consensus at a 93% implied probability because its latest Claude models have established clear leadership on key coding benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified, while Claude Code has become the preferred agentic tool among developers for multi-file refactoring and autonomous workflows. Recent updates announced at Code with Claude 2026, including multiagent orchestration and improved memory features, have reinforced this edge just weeks before the May resolution. OpenAI and Google trail far behind due to less consistent performance in production coding tasks, though a surprise model release or benchmark jump from either company before month-end could still shift sentiment.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhich company has the best Coding AI model end of May?
Which company has the best Coding AI model end of May?
Anthropic 91.3%
OpenAI 2.9%
Google 2.6%
DeepSeek <1%
$35,588 Обс.
$35,588 Обс.
May 31, 2026
Anthropic
91%
OpenAI
3%
3%
DeepSeek
1%
Moonshot
1%
Z.ai
<1%
xAI
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Meta
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 91.3%
OpenAI 2.9%
Google 2.6%
DeepSeek <1%
$35,588 Обс.
$35,588 Обс.
May 31, 2026
Anthropic
$3,969 Обс.
91%
OpenAI
$3,057 Обс.
3%
$2,860 Обс.
3%
DeepSeek
$2,557 Обс.
1%
Moonshot
$2,539 Обс.
1%
Z.ai
$2,740 Обс.
<1%
xAI
$3,265 Обс.
<1%
Baidu
$2,480 Обс.
<1%
Alibaba
$2,581 Обс.
<1%
ByteDance
$2,533 Обс.
<1%
Meta
$2,719 Обс.
<1%
Amazon
$1,058 Обс.
<1%
Mistral
$986 Обс.
<1%
Meituan
$1,139 Обс.
<1%
Microsoft
$1,110 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic holds overwhelming trader consensus at a 93% implied probability because its latest Claude models have established clear leadership on key coding benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified, while Claude Code has become the preferred agentic tool among developers for multi-file refactoring and autonomous workflows. Recent updates announced at Code with Claude 2026, including multiagent orchestration and improved memory features, have reinforced this edge just weeks before the May resolution. OpenAI and Google trail far behind due to less consistent performance in production coding tasks, though a surprise model release or benchmark jump from either company before month-end could still shift sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
Обсяг
$35,588Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic holds overwhelming trader consensus at a 93% implied probability because its latest Claude models have established clear leadership on key coding benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified, while Claude Code has become the preferred agentic tool among developers for multi-file refactoring and autonomous workflows. Recent updates announced at Code with Claude 2026, including multiagent orchestration and improved memory features, have reinforced this edge just weeks before the May resolution. OpenAI and Google trail far behind due to less consistent performance in production coding tasks, though a surprise model release or benchmark jump from either company before month-end could still shift sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Обсяг
$35,588Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic holds overwhelming trader consensus at a 93% implied probability because its latest Claude models have established clear leadership on key coding benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified, while Claude Code has become the preferred agentic tool among developers for multi-file refactoring and autonomous workflows. Recent updates announced at Code with Claude 2026, including multiagent orchestration and improved memory features, have reinforced this edge just weeks before the May resolution. OpenAI and Google trail far behind due to less consistent performance in production coding tasks, though a surprise model release or benchmark jump from either company before month-end could still shift sentiment.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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