Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, followed by its targeting of a September or October listing, has anchored trader consensus that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. The company’s $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion valuation and banker discussions with Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, and JPMorgan underscore its accelerated timeline. In contrast, OpenAI filed days later but has since signaled a potential shift toward 2027, with reports citing internal deliberations and a desire to complete additional milestones as a private entity. These developments have produced the current 87.5% market-implied odds for Anthropic, reflecting capital-weighted assessment of filing order, regulatory review pace, and management statements on preferred windows. Key upcoming catalysts include any public S-1 amendments or final pricing announcements that could alter the relative timelines.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAnthropic
88% шанс
$290,090 Обс.
$290,090 Обс.
Dec 31, 2027
Anthropic
88% шанс
$290,090 Обс.
$290,090 Обс.
Dec 31, 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, followed by its targeting of a September or October listing, has anchored trader consensus that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. The company’s $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion valuation and banker discussions with Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, and JPMorgan underscore its accelerated timeline. In contrast, OpenAI filed days later but has since signaled a potential shift toward 2027, with reports citing internal deliberations and a desire to complete additional milestones as a private entity. These developments have produced the current 87.5% market-implied odds for Anthropic, reflecting capital-weighted assessment of filing order, regulatory review pace, and management statements on preferred windows. Key upcoming catalysts include any public S-1 amendments or final pricing announcements that could alter the relative timelines.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Обсяг
$290,090Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, followed by its targeting of a September or October listing, has anchored trader consensus that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. The company’s $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion valuation and banker discussions with Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, and JPMorgan underscore its accelerated timeline. In contrast, OpenAI filed days later but has since signaled a potential shift toward 2027, with reports citing internal deliberations and a desire to complete additional milestones as a private entity. These developments have produced the current 87.5% market-implied odds for Anthropic, reflecting capital-weighted assessment of filing order, regulatory review pace, and management statements on preferred windows. Key upcoming catalysts include any public S-1 amendments or final pricing announcements that could alter the relative timelines.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$290,090Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, followed by its targeting of a September or October listing, has anchored trader consensus that it will reach public markets ahead of OpenAI. The company’s $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion valuation and banker discussions with Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, and JPMorgan underscore its accelerated timeline. In contrast, OpenAI filed days later but has since signaled a potential shift toward 2027, with reports citing internal deliberations and a desire to complete additional milestones as a private entity. These developments have produced the current 87.5% market-implied odds for Anthropic, reflecting capital-weighted assessment of filing order, regulatory review pace, and management statements on preferred windows. Key upcoming catalysts include any public S-1 amendments or final pricing announcements that could alter the relative timelines.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання