Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, followed by active banker outreach targeting a fall listing as early as September or October, has anchored trader consensus around its 89.5% implied probability of debuting first. OpenAI filed a week later but shifted in late June toward a potential 2027 timeline amid valuation hurdles and market conditions, widening the gap. Both large language model developers face comparable regulatory and profitability scrutiny, yet Anthropic's faster SEC process and recent $965 billion private valuation round give it a clear edge in the current window. Key near-term catalysts include Anthropic's expected public S-1 release and any updates on OpenAI's earnings trajectory or revised banker guidance.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAnthropic
90% шанс
$291,329 Обс.
$291,329 Обс.
Dec 31, 2027
Anthropic
90% шанс
$291,329 Обс.
$291,329 Обс.
Dec 31, 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, followed by active banker outreach targeting a fall listing as early as September or October, has anchored trader consensus around its 89.5% implied probability of debuting first. OpenAI filed a week later but shifted in late June toward a potential 2027 timeline amid valuation hurdles and market conditions, widening the gap. Both large language model developers face comparable regulatory and profitability scrutiny, yet Anthropic's faster SEC process and recent $965 billion private valuation round give it a clear edge in the current window. Key near-term catalysts include Anthropic's expected public S-1 release and any updates on OpenAI's earnings trajectory or revised banker guidance.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Обсяг
$291,329Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, followed by active banker outreach targeting a fall listing as early as September or October, has anchored trader consensus around its 89.5% implied probability of debuting first. OpenAI filed a week later but shifted in late June toward a potential 2027 timeline amid valuation hurdles and market conditions, widening the gap. Both large language model developers face comparable regulatory and profitability scrutiny, yet Anthropic's faster SEC process and recent $965 billion private valuation round give it a clear edge in the current window. Key near-term catalysts include Anthropic's expected public S-1 release and any updates on OpenAI's earnings trajectory or revised banker guidance.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$291,329Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, followed by active banker outreach targeting a fall listing as early as September or October, has anchored trader consensus around its 89.5% implied probability of debuting first. OpenAI filed a week later but shifted in late June toward a potential 2027 timeline amid valuation hurdles and market conditions, widening the gap. Both large language model developers face comparable regulatory and profitability scrutiny, yet Anthropic's faster SEC process and recent $965 billion private valuation round give it a clear edge in the current window. Key near-term catalysts include Anthropic's expected public S-1 release and any updates on OpenAI's earnings trajectory or revised banker guidance.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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