Russian forces have recorded only marginal gains around Verkhnia Tersa in Zaporizhzhia Oblast through early May, with geolocated footage confirming Ukrainian strikes on occupied structures as late as May 8 amid ongoing artillery and drone exchanges. Ukrainian defensive lines have held the critical intersection required for resolution under Institute for the Study of War mapping criteria, reflecting the village’s entrenched fortifications and high Russian casualty rates in the sector. With just two weeks remaining before the May 31 deadline, the attritional pace of advances along this axis—consistent with broader patterns of incremental Russian progress in southern Ukraine—has produced strong trader consensus against a breakthrough, absent sudden escalations or major reinforcements.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWill Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31?
Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31?
$19,659 Обс.
$19,659 Обс.
May 31, 2026
$19,659 Обс.
$19,659 Обс.
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 47.696500° N, 36.082206° E in Verkhnia Tersa, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Verkhnia+Tersa1.png
Intersection Location in Verkhnia Tersa: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Verkhnia+Tersa2.png
Verkhnia Tersa Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Verkhnia+Tersa3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/LDrTndGD6rVRfBnB9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces have recorded only marginal gains around Verkhnia Tersa in Zaporizhzhia Oblast through early May, with geolocated footage confirming Ukrainian strikes on occupied structures as late as May 8 amid ongoing artillery and drone exchanges. Ukrainian defensive lines have held the critical intersection required for resolution under Institute for the Study of War mapping criteria, reflecting the village’s entrenched fortifications and high Russian casualty rates in the sector. With just two weeks remaining before the May 31 deadline, the attritional pace of advances along this axis—consistent with broader patterns of incremental Russian progress in southern Ukraine—has produced strong trader consensus against a breakthrough, absent sudden escalations or major reinforcements.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 47.696500° N, 36.082206° E in Verkhnia Tersa, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Verkhnia+Tersa1.png
Intersection Location in Verkhnia Tersa: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Verkhnia+Tersa2.png
Verkhnia Tersa Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Verkhnia+Tersa3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/LDrTndGD6rVRfBnB9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Verkhnia+Tersa1.png
Intersection Location in Verkhnia Tersa: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Verkhnia+Tersa2.png
Verkhnia Tersa Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Verkhnia+Tersa3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/LDrTndGD6rVRfBnB9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 20, 2026, 3:38 PM ET
Обсяг
$19,659Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 20, 2026, 3:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 47.696500° N, 36.082206° E in Verkhnia Tersa, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Verkhnia+Tersa1.png
Intersection Location in Verkhnia Tersa: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Verkhnia+Tersa2.png
Verkhnia Tersa Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Verkhnia+Tersa3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/LDrTndGD6rVRfBnB9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces have recorded only marginal gains around Verkhnia Tersa in Zaporizhzhia Oblast through early May, with geolocated footage confirming Ukrainian strikes on occupied structures as late as May 8 amid ongoing artillery and drone exchanges. Ukrainian defensive lines have held the critical intersection required for resolution under Institute for the Study of War mapping criteria, reflecting the village’s entrenched fortifications and high Russian casualty rates in the sector. With just two weeks remaining before the May 31 deadline, the attritional pace of advances along this axis—consistent with broader patterns of incremental Russian progress in southern Ukraine—has produced strong trader consensus against a breakthrough, absent sudden escalations or major reinforcements.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 47.696500° N, 36.082206° E in Verkhnia Tersa, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Verkhnia+Tersa1.png
Intersection Location in Verkhnia Tersa: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Verkhnia+Tersa2.png
Verkhnia Tersa Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Verkhnia+Tersa3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/LDrTndGD6rVRfBnB9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Verkhnia+Tersa1.png
Intersection Location in Verkhnia Tersa: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Verkhnia+Tersa2.png
Verkhnia Tersa Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Verkhnia+Tersa3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/LDrTndGD6rVRfBnB9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Обсяг
$19,659Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 20, 2026, 3:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces have recorded only marginal gains around Verkhnia Tersa in Zaporizhzhia Oblast through early May, with geolocated footage confirming Ukrainian strikes on occupied structures as late as May 8 amid ongoing artillery and drone exchanges. Ukrainian defensive lines have held the critical intersection required for resolution under Institute for the Study of War mapping criteria, reflecting the village’s entrenched fortifications and high Russian casualty rates in the sector. With just two weeks remaining before the May 31 deadline, the attritional pace of advances along this axis—consistent with broader patterns of incremental Russian progress in southern Ukraine—has produced strong trader consensus against a breakthrough, absent sudden escalations or major reinforcements.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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