Russian forces have conducted limited offensive operations north and northeast of Lyman in Donetsk Oblast amid ongoing attempts to pressure the Slovyansk-Kramatorsk defensive area. Ukrainian units have mounted counterattacks in the Lyman direction since at least early September 2026, contesting and reducing prior Russian salients, with active fighting reported near Stavky and adjacent settlements such as Shandryholove and Ridkodub. Ukrainian officials have rejected Russian claims of capturing Stavky and nearby villages, describing them as unverified infiltration attempts. Broader Russian advances across Donbas remain incremental at low daily rates, while Ukrainian forces have regained ground in multiple sectors and maintained defensive positions around key eastern strongholds. No major new escalations or breakthroughs directly involving Stavky have been confirmed in the latest reporting.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWill Russia capture Stavky by...?
Will Russia capture Stavky by...?
$128,140 Обс.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
3%
$128,140 Обс.
September 30
$30,679 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 49.048958° N, 37.829063° E in Stavky, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Stavky1.png
Intersection Location in Stavky: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Stavky2.png
Stavky Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Stavky3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/As9xRqw7yvEiQGSh8
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces have conducted limited offensive operations north and northeast of Lyman in Donetsk Oblast amid ongoing attempts to pressure the Slovyansk-Kramatorsk defensive area. Ukrainian units have mounted counterattacks in the Lyman direction since at least early September 2026, contesting and reducing prior Russian salients, with active fighting reported near Stavky and adjacent settlements such as Shandryholove and Ridkodub. Ukrainian officials have rejected Russian claims of capturing Stavky and nearby villages, describing them as unverified infiltration attempts. Broader Russian advances across Donbas remain incremental at low daily rates, while Ukrainian forces have regained ground in multiple sectors and maintained defensive positions around key eastern strongholds. No major new escalations or breakthroughs directly involving Stavky have been confirmed in the latest reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 49.048958° N, 37.829063° E in Stavky, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Stavky1.png
Intersection Location in Stavky: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Stavky2.png
Stavky Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Stavky3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/As9xRqw7yvEiQGSh8
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Stavky1.png
Intersection Location in Stavky: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Stavky2.png
Stavky Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Stavky3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/As9xRqw7yvEiQGSh8
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 24, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Обсяг
$128,140Дата завершення
Oct 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 24, 2026, 9:02 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 49.048958° N, 37.829063° E in Stavky, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Stavky1.png
Intersection Location in Stavky: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Stavky2.png
Stavky Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Stavky3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/As9xRqw7yvEiQGSh8
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces have conducted limited offensive operations north and northeast of Lyman in Donetsk Oblast amid ongoing attempts to pressure the Slovyansk-Kramatorsk defensive area. Ukrainian units have mounted counterattacks in the Lyman direction since at least early September 2026, contesting and reducing prior Russian salients, with active fighting reported near Stavky and adjacent settlements such as Shandryholove and Ridkodub. Ukrainian officials have rejected Russian claims of capturing Stavky and nearby villages, describing them as unverified infiltration attempts. Broader Russian advances across Donbas remain incremental at low daily rates, while Ukrainian forces have regained ground in multiple sectors and maintained defensive positions around key eastern strongholds. No major new escalations or breakthroughs directly involving Stavky have been confirmed in the latest reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 49.048958° N, 37.829063° E in Stavky, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Stavky1.png
Intersection Location in Stavky: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Stavky2.png
Stavky Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Stavky3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/As9xRqw7yvEiQGSh8
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Stavky1.png
Intersection Location in Stavky: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Stavky2.png
Stavky Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Stavky3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/As9xRqw7yvEiQGSh8
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Обсяг
$128,140Дата завершення
Oct 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 24, 2026, 9:02 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Russian forces have conducted limited offensive operations north and northeast of Lyman in Donetsk Oblast amid ongoing attempts to pressure the Slovyansk-Kramatorsk defensive area. Ukrainian units have mounted counterattacks in the Lyman direction since at least early September 2026, contesting and reducing prior Russian salients, with active fighting reported near Stavky and adjacent settlements such as Shandryholove and Ridkodub. Ukrainian officials have rejected Russian claims of capturing Stavky and nearby villages, describing them as unverified infiltration attempts. Broader Russian advances across Donbas remain incremental at low daily rates, while Ukrainian forces have regained ground in multiple sectors and maintained defensive positions around key eastern strongholds. No major new escalations or breakthroughs directly involving Stavky have been confirmed in the latest reporting.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання